Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 10, 2024
Last updated: May 19, 2024, 5:02AM | Published: May 12, 2024, 11:58AM
Port Adelaide will sqaure off with Hawthorn in AFL Round 10 action at Adelaide Oval on Sunday, starting at 3:20pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Port Adelaide-Hawthorn AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Power an 83% chance of beating the Hawks in Round 10 of the 2024 AFL season.
More: Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn Match Centre
Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn: Odds
The latest betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are listed below:
- Head to Head: Port Adelaide $1.17, Hawthorn $6.60
- Line: Port Adelaide -31.5 ($1.90), Hawthorn +31.5 ($2.06)
- Total (Over/Under 170.5 Points): Over $2.08, Under $1.90
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Port Adelaide at $1.17 and Hawthorn at $6.60.
The Power are listed as 31.5-point favourites against the Hawks, with odds of $1.90 currently available at Betfair.
For the underdog Hawks (+31.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.06.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 170.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.08 and odds for the Under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Hawks (+31.5) have a 57% chance of covering the line, while the 170.5-point Over/Under has a 52% chance of staying Under.
More: Best Bets Today for All Sports
Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $6.60 with Betfair (1.7% edge)
- Line: Hawthorn +31.5 at $2.06 with Betfair (57% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 170.5 at $1.90 with Betfair (52% probability)
Every time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across all sports.
Our Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn predictions are based on world-class modelling and betting experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Power have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Hawks to win is our preferred option due to the 1.7% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn at Adelaide Oval on Sunday has Port Adelaide prevailing 97-71.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn: Goal Scorers
Looking for Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, P Adelaide's Mitch Georgiades is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn.
Georgiades has a 6.9% chance of kicking the first goal at Adelaide Oval, while the Power star has an 85.0% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Port Adelaide
- Mitch Georgiades: 6.9% probability
- Charlie Dixon: 6.6% probability
- Jeremy Finlayson: 6.2% probability
- Todd Marshall: 6.2% probability
- Willie Rioli: 4.7% probability
Hawthorn
- Luke Breust: 5.4% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 4.8% probability
- Dylan Moore: 4.1% probability
- Mabior Chol: 4.0% probability
- Nick Watson: 3.7% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Port Adelaide
- Charlie Dixon: 86.4% probability
- Mitch Georgiades: 85.0% probability
- Todd Marshall: 83.9% probability
- Jeremy Finlayson: 83.7% probability
- Willie Rioli: 72.8% probability
Hawthorn
- Luke Breust: 79.8% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 71.8% probability
- Mabior Chol: 69.2% probability
- Dylan Moore: 66.7% probability
- Nick Watson: 63.9% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn match at Adelaide Oval.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn: Preview
The AFL Round 10 clash between the Power and Hawks at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to commence at 3:20pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn
- Date: Sunday 19 May 2024
- Time: 3:20pm AEST
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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