Port Adelaide vs Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 3, 2024
Last updated: Mar 30, 2024, 8:02AM | Published: Mar 25, 2024, 12:30AM
Port Adelaide will take on Melbourne in AFL Round 3 action at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, beginning at 7:30pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Port Adelaide vs Melbourne game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Port Adelaide vs Melbourne
Using state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Port Adelaide-Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Power a 65% chance of beating the Demons in Round 3 of the 2024 AFL season.
More: Port Adelaide vs Melbourne Match Centre
Port Adelaide vs Melbourne: Odds
The latest betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are listed below:
- Head to Head: Port Adelaide $1.56, Melbourne $2.76
- Line: Port Adelaide -11.5 ($2.02), Melbourne +11.5 ($1.96)
- Total (Over/Under 168.5 Points): Over $1.86, Under $2.14
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Port Adelaide at $1.56 and Melbourne at $2.76.
The Power are listed as 11.5-point favourites against the Demons, with odds of $2.02 currently available at TAB.
For the underdog Demons (+11.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.96.
The Over/Under for Port Adelaide vs Melbourne sits at 168.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.86 and odds for the Under at $2.14.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Demons (+11.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the 168.5-point Over/Under has a 60% chance of staying Under.
More: AFL Premiership 2024 Probabilities and Odds
Port Adelaide vs Melbourne: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: P Adelaide at $1.56 with (65% probability)
- Line: Melbourne +11.5 at $1.96 with Betfair (51% probability)
- Total Points: Under 168.5 at $2.14 with Betfair (60% probability) 🔥
When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best tips of the day across all sports.
Our Port Adelaide vs Melbourne betting tips are based on world-class simulations and gambling expertise to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
Looking for further insight on Round 3 AFL action? Matt from Champion Bets has put his knowledge and background as a data scientist to work, finding markets that are easier to win money on.
He then uses this knowledge to provide you with the best bets of every AFL round straight to you.
Click here and use promo code STATS to get 20% off your AFL Champion Bets subscription.
Port Adelaide vs Melbourne: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Port Adelaide vs Melbourne at Adelaide Oval on Saturday has P Adelaide winning 86-76.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Port Adelaide vs Melbourne on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Port Adelaide vs Melbourne: Goal Scorers
Searching for Port Adelaide vs Melbourne goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, P Adelaide's Todd Marshall is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Port Adelaide vs Melbourne.
Marshall has a 6.4% chance of kicking the first goal at Adelaide Oval, while the Power star has an 85.9% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Port Adelaide
- Todd Marshall: 6.4% probability
- Charlie Dixon: 6.3% probability
- Jeremy Finlayson: 5.2% probability
- Willie Rioli: 4.3% probability
- Francis Evans: 3.9% probability
Melbourne
- Kysaiah Pickett: 5.7% probability
- Bayley Fritsch: 5.5% probability
- Ben Brown: 4.5% probability
- Christian Petracca: 4.2% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 3.4% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Port Adelaide
- Todd Marshall: 85.9% probability
- Charlie Dixon: 81.5% probability
- Jeremy Finlayson: 75.3% probability
- Willie Rioli: 70.6% probability
- Francis Evans: 64.5% probability
Melbourne
- Bayley Fritsch: 80.1% probability
- Kysaiah Pickett: 74.9% probability
- Ben Brown: 69.5% probability
- Christian Petracca: 68.3% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 60.2% probability
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Port Adelaide vs Melbourne match at Adelaide Oval.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Port Adelaide vs Melbourne: Preview
The AFL Round 3 clash between the Power and Demons at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to begin at 7:30pm AEDT on Saturday.
- Teams: Port Adelaide vs Melbourne
- Date: Saturday 30 March 2024
- Time: 7:30pm AEDT
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our Port Adelaide vs Melbourne predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, predictions for every AFL game, and futures probabilities for the AFL.
