Port Adelaide vs St Kilda Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 7, 2024
Last updated: Apr 26, 2024, 9:01AM | Published: Apr 21, 2024, 11:51PM
Port Adelaide will face St Kilda in AFL Round 7 action at Adelaide Oval on Friday, starting at 7:40pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Port Adelaide vs St Kilda game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Port Adelaide vs St Kilda
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Port Adelaide-St Kilda AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Power a 77% chance of winning against the Saints in Round 7 of the 2024 AFL season.
More: Port Adelaide vs St Kilda Match Centre
Port Adelaide vs St Kilda: Odds
The current betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are listed below:
- Head to Head: Port Adelaide $1.22, St Kilda $5.30
- Line: Port Adelaide -25.5 ($1.90), St Kilda +25.5 ($2.06)
- Total (Over/Under 162.5 Points): Over $2.08, Under $1.90
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Port Adelaide at $1.22 and St Kilda at $5.30.
The Power are 25.5-point favourites against the Saints, with odds of $1.90 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the underdog Saints (+25.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.06.
The Over/Under for Port Adelaide vs St Kilda is set at 162.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.08 and odds for the Under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Saints (+25.5) have a 58% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 162.5 points has a 51% chance of staying Under.
More: Predictions for Every AFL Game
Port Adelaide vs St Kilda: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: St Kilda at $5.30 with Betfair (4.5% edge) 🔥
- Line: St Kilda +25.5 at $2.06 with Betfair (58% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Over 162.5 at $2.08 with Betfair (1.3% edge)
When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across all sports.
Stats Insider's Port Adelaide vs St Kilda best bets are based on complex simulations and betting expertise to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Power have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Saints to win is our recommended option due to the 4.5% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Furthermore, despite the Under being more likely to hit in this game, Over 162.5 is our best bet because of the better odds ($2.08) that are available from Betfair.
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Port Adelaide vs St Kilda: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Port Adelaide vs St Kilda at Adelaide Oval this Friday has Port Adelaide winning 90-71.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Port Adelaide vs St Kilda on Friday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live scores.
Port Adelaide vs St Kilda: Goal Scorers
Searching for Port Adelaide vs St Kilda goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, P Adelaide's Todd Marshall is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Port Adelaide vs St Kilda.
Marshall has a 6.9% chance of kicking the first goal at Adelaide Oval, while the Power star has an 85.6% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Port Adelaide
- Todd Marshall: 6.9% probability
- Charlie Dixon: 6.2% probability
- Sam Powell-Pepper: 5.7% probability
- Mitch Georgiades: 5.6% probability
- Willie Rioli: 4.9% probability
St Kilda
- Jack Higgins: 6.3% probability
- Tim Membrey: 5.4% probability
- Anthony Caminiti: 4.2% probability
- Mitch Owens: 3.4% probability
- Darcy Wilson: 2.6% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Port Adelaide
- Todd Marshall: 85.6% probability
- Charlie Dixon: 83.1% probability
- Mitch Georgiades: 78.0% probability
- Sam Powell-Pepper: 76.4% probability
- Willie Rioli: 73.9% probability
St Kilda
- Jack Higgins: 82.4% probability
- Tim Membrey: 77.3% probability
- Anthony Caminiti: 69.3% probability
- Mitch Owens: 59.7% probability
- Cooper Sharman: 55.9% probability
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Port Adelaide vs St Kilda game at Adelaide Oval.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Port Adelaide vs St Kilda: Preview
The AFL Round 7 clash between the Power and Saints at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to begin at 7:40pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Port Adelaide vs St Kilda
- Date: Friday 26 April 2024
- Time: 7:40pm AEST
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our Port Adelaide vs St Kilda predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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