QLD vs NSW State of Origin Game 1 Prediction 2023
Last updated: May 31, 2023, 12:08PM | Published: May 29, 2023, 11:12PM
Queensland faces New South Wales in Game 1 of the 2023 State of Origin series at Adelaide Oval on Wednesday, commencing at 8:05pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for State of Origin Game 1, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: State of Origin Game 1
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Game 1 of the 2023 State of Origin series 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Blues a 57% chance of beating the Maroons at Adelaide Oval.
More: Queensland vs New South Wales Game 1 Match Centre
State of Origin Game 1: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Wednesday's State of Origin clash at Adelaide Oval are listed below:
- Head to Head: Queensland $2.05, New South Wales $1.80
- Line: Queensland +1.5 ($1.91), New South Wales -1.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 35.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Queensland at $2.05 and NSW at $1.80.
The Over/Under for QLD vs NSW sits at 35.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
More: Best Bets Today for All Sports
State of Origin Game 1: Best Bets
- Head to Head: NSW at $1.80 with TAB (57% probability)
- Line: NSW -1.5 at $1.91 with TAB (53% probability)
- Total Points: Over 35.5 at $1.91 with TAB (51% probability)
Today's State of Origin Game 1 predictions are based on detailed simulations and gambling expertise to provide you with the best possible advice every day of the year.
State of Origin Game 1: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for State of Origin Game 1 at Adelaide Oval on Wednesday has the Blues winning 19-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of State of Origin Game 1 on Wednesday, including pre-match predictions, computer tips, and live scores.
In this video, Stats Insider's Damien Souness joins Zero Tackle's Mitch Keating to preview the 2023 State of Origin series. See Zero Tackle's Origin Game 1 preview for more.
State of Origin Game 1: Try Scorers
Who will score the first try in Game 1 of State of Origin? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Josh Addo-Carr is the most likely player to score the first try in QLD vs NSW.
Addo-Carr has a 9.5% chance of scoring the first try at Adelaide Oval, while the NSW star has a 46.5% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Queensland Maroons
- Selwyn Cobbo: 7.9% probability
- Murray Taulagi: 6.0% probability
- Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 4.8% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 4.3% probability
- Cameron Munster: 4.2% probability
New South Wales Blues
- Josh Addo-Carr: 9.5% probability
- Brian To'o: 6.7% probability
- Stephen Crichton: 5.8% probability
- Tom Trbojevic: 5.4% probability
- James Tedesco: 4.8% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Queensland Maroons
- Selwyn Cobbo: 38.5% probability
- Murray Taulagi: 32.5% probability
- Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 25.3% probability
- David Fifita: 24.8% probability
- Cameron Munster: 23.0% probability
New South Wales Blues
- Josh Addo-Carr: 46.5% probability
- Brian To'o: 34.0% probability
- Tom Trbojevic: 30.1% probability
- Stephen Crichton: 29.0% probability
- James Tedesco: 27.4% probability
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Queensland vs New South Wales game at Adelaide Oval.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every State of Origin match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on, including every game of the 2023 NRL season.
State of Origin Game 1: Preview
The State of Origin Game 1 between Queensland and New South Wales at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to start at 8:05pm AEST on Wednesday.
- Game: QLD vs NSW
- Date: Wednesday 31 May 2023
- Time: 8:05pm AEST
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for State of Origin Game 1 have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our State of Origin tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our State of Origin predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on State of Origin
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