Rabbitohs Rise to the Top of NRL Premiership Probabilities
Last updated: May 11, 2023, 2:08AM | Published: May 10, 2023, 5:53AM
The Rabbitohs are our NRL predictive model's most likely team to win the 2023 premiership.
According to Stats Insider's NRL predictive model, after South Sydney's 16-point victory over the Storm during Magic Round, the Rabbitohs have a 28.5% chance of winning the 2023 NRL premiership.
The Rabbitohs are second on the NRL ladder following the Magic Round win, just one victory behind the ladder leading Brisbane Broncos.
The Rabbitohs next game is against the bottom of the ladder West Tigers.
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2023 NRL Premiership Probabilities
| Team | Winning Probability |
| South Sydney Rabbitohs | 28.5% |
| Penrith Panthers | 21.8% |
| Cronulla Sharks | 12.0% |
| Sydney Roosters | 9.8% |
| Melbourne Storm | 8.4% |
| Brisbane Broncos | 8.1% |
| Canberra Raiders | 3.7% |
| Parramatta Eels | 3.3% |
| North Queensland Cowboys | 1.5% |
All probabilities are correct at the time of publishing.
Souths Surge to the Top of Minor Premiership Probabilities
The Rabbitohs are Stats Insider's most probable team to top the ladder at the end of the 2023 NRL season.
Souths are at 47.5% to win the 2023 minor premiership with Stats Insider's NRL predictive model, with the Broncos the next best team in the probabilities at 18.1%.
The Panthers at 15% are the only other team in double figure probabilities to win the 2023 NRL minor premiership.
After losing two of the opening three games of the 2023 NRL season, the Rabbitohs have gone on a five game winning streak that has them just two points behind the league leading Brisbane Broncos.
The Rabbitohs could end Round 11 on top of the NRL ladder, with a game against the bottom of the ladder Tigers looming, while the Broncos will go into their game with the Storm as the underdogs on Thursday night.
(Photo by Cameron Spencer/Getty Images)
