Rabbitohs vs Dragons Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 24, 2023

Last updated: Aug 12, 2023, 4:55AM | Published: Aug 6, 2023, 10:55PM

The Rabbitohs face the Dragons in NRL Round 24 action at Barlow Park on Saturday, starting at 3:00pm AEST.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for Rabbitohs vs Dragons, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed in this article.

More: NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 24, 2023

Who Will Win: Rabbitohs vs Dragons

Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's South Sydney-St George Illawarra NRL match 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Rabbitohs an 82% chance of defeating the Dragons at Barlow Park.

More: Rabbitohs vs Dragons Match Centre

Rabbitohs vs Dragons: Odds

The current betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Barlow Park are listed below:

Head to Head: Rabbitohs $1.11, Dragons $6.50
Line: Rabbitohs -17.5 ($1.85), Dragons +17.5 ($1.95)
Total (Over/Under 50.5 Points): Over $1.95, Under $1.85

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Rabbitohs at $1.11 and the Dragons at $6.50.

The Rabbitohs are listed as 17.5-point favourites against the Dragons, with odds of $1.85 currently available at PointsBet.

For the underdog Dragons (+17.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.95.

The Over/Under for Rabbitohs vs Dragons is set at 50.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.95 and odds for the Under at $1.85.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Dragons (+17.5) have a 55% chance of covering the line, while the 50.5-point Over/Under has a 57% chance of staying Under.

Looking for a new way to bet on this Rabbitohs vs Dragons match? Join PointsBet now and check out the world's most exciting sports betting format, Spread Betting.

More: NRL Fixture Difficulty 2023

Rabbitohs vs Dragons: Betting Tips

Head to Head: St George at $6.50 with PointsBet (3.6% edge)
Line: Dragons +17.5 at $1.95 with PointsBet (55% probability)
Total Points: Under 50.5 at $1.85 with PointsBet (57% probability)

Our Rabbitohs vs Dragons betting tips are based on complex simulations and wagering experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

We strongly recommend betting on this Rabbitohs vs Dragons game at PointsBet, where you can use our cutting-edge predictions to bet on more NRL markets than any other bookmaker in the world. Create your PointsBet account today!

While the Rabbitohs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dragons to win is our recommended option because of the 3.6% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.

Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a punter.

Rabbitohs vs Dragons: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Rabbitohs vs Dragons at Barlow Park this Saturday has the Rabbitohs winning 30-15.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

For more information, click or tap See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Souths vs St George on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.

Rabbitohs vs Dragons: Try Scorers

Are you looking for Rabbitohs vs Dragons try scorers? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, the Rabbitohs' Alex Johnston is the most likely player to score the first try in South Sydney vs St George Illawarra.

Johnston has a 15.4% chance of scoring the first try at Barlow Park, while the Rabbitohs star has a 74.2% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.

Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities. We recommend using these probabilities to find a suitable bet on PointsBet, where you can enjoy betting on every single game this week.

First Try Scorer Tips

South Sydney Rabbitohs

Alex Johnston: 15.4% probability
Taane Milne: 7.3% probability
Latrell Mitchell: 7.1% probability
Campbell Graham: 6.8% probability
Cody Walker: 5.6% probability

St George Illawarra Dragons

Mikaele Ravalawa: 8.0% probability
Tyrell Sloan: 4.2% probability
Mathew Feagai: 3.6% probability
Ben Hunt: 2.8% probability
Max Feagai: 2.7% probability

Anytime Try Scorer Tips

South Sydney Rabbitohs

Alex Johnston: 74.2% probability
Campbell Graham: 47.1% probability
Latrell Mitchell: 47.1% probability
Taane Milne: 46.1% probability
Cody Walker: 40.7% probability

St George Illawarra Dragons

Mikaele Ravalawa: 46.9% probability
Tyrell Sloan: 29.8% probability
Mathew Feagai: 26.7% probability
Ben Hunt: 21.4% probability
Max Feagai: 21.1% probability

Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Rabbitohs vs Dragons game at Barlow Park.

As always, check out our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NRL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: NRL True Kicker Ratings 2023

Rabbitohs vs Dragons: Preview

The NRL Round 24 clash between the Rabbitohs and Dragons at Barlow Park is scheduled to commence at 3:00pm AEST on Saturday.

Teams: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs St George Illawarra Dragons
Date: Saturday 12 August 2023
Kick-off: 3:00pm AEST
Location: Barlow Park

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.

Our predictions for Souths vs St George are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.