Rabbitohs vs Storm Prediction and Odds - NRL Round 5, 2023
Mar 27, 2023, 8:31AM
The Rabbitohs square off with the Storm in NRL Round 5 action at Accor Stadium on Friday, starting at 8:00pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Rabbitohs vs Storm, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are featured below.
Who will win? Rabbitohs vs Storm
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's South Sydney-Melbourne NRL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Rabbitohs a 59% chance of defeating the Storm in Round 5 of the 2023 NRL season.
More: Full Betting Guide for Rabbitohs vs Storm
Rabbitohs vs Storm Best Odds
The latest betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at Accor Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Rabbitohs $1.55, Storm $2.45
- Line: Rabbitohs -4.5 ($1.90), Storm +4.5 ($1.90)
- Total (Over/Under 41.5 Points): Over $1.85, Under $1.95
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Rabbitohs to win at $1.55 and the Storm to win at $2.45.
The Rabbitohs are listed as 4.5-point favourites against the Storm, with odds of $1.90 currently available at TAB.
For the underdog Storm (+4.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.90.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 41.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.85 and odds for the Under at $1.95.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Storm (+4.5) have a 55% chance of covering the line, while the 41.5-point Over/Under has a 54% chance of going Over.
More: NRL Premiership 2023 Probabilities and Odds
Rabbitohs vs Storm NRL Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Storm at $2.45 with TAB (0.2% edge)
- Line: Storm +4.5 at $1.90 with TAB (55% probability)
- Total Points: Over 41.5 at $1.85 with TAB (54% probability)
These Rabbitohs vs Storm best bets are based on world-class modelling and wagering expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Rabbitohs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Storm to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Rabbitohs vs Storm NRL Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Rabbitohs vs Storm at Accor Stadium this Friday has the Rabbitohs winning 23-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Souths vs Storm on Friday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Rabbitohs vs Storm Try Scorers
Looking for Rabbitohs vs Storm try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Rabbitohs' Alex Johnston is the most likely player to score the first try in South Sydney vs Melbourne.
Johnston has a 13.6% chance of scoring the first try at Accor Stadium, while the Rabbitohs star has a 60.1% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
South Sydney Rabbitohs
- Alex Johnston: 13.6% probability
- Cody Walker: 5.5% probability
- Izaac Tu’itupou: 5.3% probability
- Latrell Mitchell: 5.2% probability
- Campbell Graham: 5.0% probability
Melbourne Storm
- Xavier Coates: 7.8% probability
- Will Warbrick: 5.6% probability
- Nick Meaney: 5.1% probability
- Justin Olam: 4.2% probability
- Cameron Munster: 3.2% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
South Sydney Rabbitohs
- Alex Johnston: 60.1% probability
- Izaac Tu’itupou: 33.8% probability
- Cody Walker: 32.3% probability
- Latrell Mitchell: 30.7% probability
- Campbell Graham: 28.0% probability
Melbourne Storm
- Xavier Coates: 41.3% probability
- Will Warbrick: 31.6% probability
- Nick Meaney: 31.5% probability
- Justin Olam: 27.3% probability
- Cameron Munster: 21.4% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Rabbitohs vs Storm game at Accor Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every NRL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL True Kicker Ratings 2023
Rabbitohs vs Storm NRL 2023
The NRL Round 5 clash between the Rabbitohs and Storm at Accor Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:00pm AEDT on Friday.
- Game: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Melbourne Storm
- Date: Friday 31 March 2023
- Kick-off: 8:00pm AEDT
- Location: Accor Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
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