Rams vs Saints Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 16, 2023

Last updated: Dec 22, 2023, 1:16AM | Published: Dec 19, 2023, 6:07AM

The Los Angeles Rams will play the New Orleans Saints in NFL Week 16 action at SoFi Stadium on Friday, commencing at 12:15pm AEDT.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Rams vs Saints game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured in this article.

Who Will Win: Rams vs Saints

Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's LA Rams-New Orleans NFL match-up 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Rams a 65% chance of beating the Saints in Week 16 of the NFL season.

More: Rams vs Saints Match Centre

Rams vs Saints: Odds

The latest Betfair betting odds in Australia for Friday's NFL game at SoFi Stadium are shown here:

Head to Head: Rams $1.51, Saints $2.94
Line: Rams -4.5 ($2.08), Saints +4.5 ($1.87)
Total (Over/Under 45.5 Points): Over $2.02, Under $1.96

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Rams at $1.51 and the Saints at $2.94.

The Rams are 4.5-point favourites against the Saints, with odds of $2.08 currently available at Betfair.

For the underdog Saints (+4.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.87.

The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 45.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.02 and odds for the Under at $1.96.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Saints (+4.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the 45.5-point Over/Under has a 52% chance of going Over.

The best site for placing bets on the Rams vs Saints game is Betfair, where you can wager against other NFL fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.

More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds

Rams vs Saints: Best Bets

Head to Head: New Orleans at $2.94 with Betfair (1.2% edge)
Line: Rams -4.5 at $2.08 with Betfair
Total Points: Over 45.5 at $2.02 with Betfair (52% probability)

Today's Rams vs Saints best bets are based on detailed modelling and wagering expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

And while the Rams have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Saints to win is our preferred option because of the 1.2% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.

Although the Saints are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Rams -4.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.

What could be better than using one of the world's leading predictive analytics models to bet on the NFL? Now, you can use this helpful information to give you an edge when betting on something not to happen.

Before you begin, explore our comprehensive guide to lay betting on Betfair in Australia for expert tips and insights.

Rams vs Saints: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Rams vs Saints at SoFi Stadium in Week 16 has the Rams winning 25-21.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

For more information, click or tap on See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of LA Rams vs New Orleans in Week 16, including pre-game predictions, computer tips, and live win probabilities.

Rams vs Saints: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score the first touchdown in Rams vs Saints? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Los Angeles' Kyren Williams is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Rams vs Saints.

Williams has a 14.6% chance of scoring the first TD at SoFi Stadium, while the Rams RB has a 56.2% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Rams First TD Tips

Kyren Williams: 14.6% probability
Cooper Kupp: 10.3% probability
Puka Nacua: 8.0% probability
Demarcus Robinson: 5.5% probability
Tyler Higbee: 4.7% probability

Saints First TD Tips

Alvin Kamara: 9.9% probability
Chris Olave: 8.5% probability
Rashid Shaheed: 7.2% probability
Juwan Johnson: 4.5% probability
Jamaal Williams: 3.6% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Rams Anytime TD Tips

Kyren Williams: 56.2% probability
Cooper Kupp: 43.9% probability
Puka Nacua: 35.9% probability
Demarcus Robinson: 25.7% probability
Tyler Higbee: 20.9% probability

Saints Anytime TD Tips

Alvin Kamara: 41.9% probability
Chris Olave: 37.8% probability
Rashid Shaheed: 31.8% probability
Juwan Johnson: 20.1% probability
Jamaal Williams: 18.8% probability

Rams-Saints Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Rams' Matthew Stafford is projected for 253 passing yards, while the Saints' Derek Carr is expected to throw for 223 yards.

Rams Starting QB

Matthew Stafford: 253 projected passing yards

Saints Starting QB

Derek Carr: 223 projected passing yards

Rams Rushing Yards

Kyren Williams: 91 projected yards
Royce Freeman: 16 projected yards
Ronnie Rivers: 9 projected yards

Saints Rushing Yards

Alvin Kamara: 53 projected yards
Jamaal Williams: 26 projected yards
Taysom Hill: 16 projected yards

Rams Receiving Yards

Cooper Kupp: 86 projected yards
Puka Nacua: 65 projected yards
Kyren Williams: 29 projected yards
Demarcus Robinson: 28 projected yards
Tyler Higbee: 27 projected yards

Saints Receiving Yards

Chris Olave: 65 projected yards
Rashid Shaheed: 40 projected yards
Alvin Kamara: 34 projected yards
Lynn Bowden: 27 projected yards
Juwan Johnson: 24 projected yards

Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the LA Rams vs New Orleans match-up at SoFi Stadium.

As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Rams vs Saints: Week 16 Preview

The NFL Week 16 match-up between the Rams and Saints at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to commence at 12:15pm AEDT on Friday.

Teams: Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints
Date: Friday 22 December 2023
Time: 12:15pm AEDT
Venue: SoFi Stadium

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

Our LA Rams vs New Orleans predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.