Ravens vs Bills Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 4, 2024
Last updated: Sep 30, 2024, 12:21AM | Published: Sep 23, 2024, 4:11AM
The Baltimore Ravens will face the Buffalo Bills in NFL Week 4 action at M&T Bank Stadium on Monday, beginning at 10:20am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Ravens vs Bills game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Baltimore vs Buffalo NFL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Ravens a 59% chance of defeating the Bills at M&T Bank Stadium.
Ravens vs Bills: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at M&T Bank Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Ravens $1.67, Bills $2.25
- Line: Ravens -2.5 ($1.91), Bills +2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 47.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Ravens at $1.67 and the Bills at $2.25.
The Ravens are listed as 2.5-point favourites against the Bills, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Bills (+2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 47.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Ravens and the Bills have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 47.5-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Ravens vs Bills: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Baltimore at $1.67 with Bet365
- Line: Bills +2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 47.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Ravens vs Bills: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Ravens vs Bills at M&T Bank Stadium in Week 4 is the Ravens winning 25-22.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Baltimore vs Buffalo game in Week 4, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Ravens vs Bills prediction.
Ravens vs Bills: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Ravens vs Bills? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Baltimore's Derrick Henry is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Ravens vs Bills.
Henry has a 15.0% chance of scoring the first TD at M&T Bank Stadium, while the Ravens RB has a 58.0% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Ravens First TD Tips
- Derrick Henry: 15.0% probability
- Lamar Jackson: 7.8% probability
- Zay Flowers: 7.8% probability
- Mark Andrews: 5.9% probability
- Isaiah Likely: 4.8% probability
Bills First TD Tips
- Josh Allen: 9.8% probability
- James Cook: 8.6% probability
- Khalil Shakir: 6.1% probability
- Keon Coleman: 4.6% probability
- Dalton Kincaid: 4.5% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Ravens Anytime TD Tips
- Derrick Henry: 58.0% probability
- Zay Flowers: 36.7% probability
- Lamar Jackson: 34.8% probability
- Mark Andrews: 27.0% probability
- Rashod Bateman: 22.5% probability
Bills Anytime TD Tips
- Josh Allen: 42.8% probability
- James Cook: 38.6% probability
- Khalil Shakir: 28.3% probability
- Keon Coleman: 21.7% probability
- Dalton Kincaid: 21.7% probability
Ravens-Bills Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Ravens' Lamar Jackson is projected for 223 passing yards, while the Bills' Josh Allen is expected to throw for 230 yards.
Ravens Starting QB
- Lamar Jackson: 223 projected passing yards
Bills Starting QB
- Josh Allen: 230 projected passing yards
Ravens Rushing Yards
- Derrick Henry: 67 projected yards
- Lamar Jackson: 51 projected yards
- Justice Hill: 16 projected yards
Bills Rushing Yards
- James Cook: 67 projected yards
- Josh Allen: 35 projected yards
- Ray Davis: 19 projected yards
Ravens Receiving Yards
- Zay Flowers: 58 projected yards
- Mark Andrews: 39 projected yards
- Isaiah Likely: 32 projected yards
- Rashod Bateman: 32 projected yards
- Justice Hill: 18 projected yards
Bills Receiving Yards
- Khalil Shakir: 55 projected yards
- Dalton Kincaid: 39 projected yards
- Keon Coleman: 37 projected yards
- Curtis Samuel: 21 projected yards
- James Cook: 19 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Baltimore vs Buffalo game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Ravens vs Bills: Week 4 Essential Details
The NFL Week 4 match-up between the Ravens and Bills at M&T Bank Stadium is scheduled to commence at 10:20am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills
- Date: Monday 30 September 2024
- Time: 10:20am AEST
- Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Baltimore vs Buffalo predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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