Ravens vs Commanders Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 6, 2024
Last updated: Oct 13, 2024, 5:01PM | Published: Oct 6, 2024, 11:40PM
The Baltimore Ravens will sqaure off with the Washington Commanders in NFL Week 6 action at M&T Bank Stadium on Monday, starting at 4:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Ravens vs Commanders game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Baltimore vs Washington NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Ravens a 72% chance of defeating the Commanders at M&T Bank Stadium.
Ravens vs Commanders: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at M&T Bank Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Ravens $1.31, Commanders $3.60
- Line: Ravens -7 ($1.91), Commanders +7 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 50.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Ravens at $1.31 and the Commanders at $3.60.
The Ravens are 7-point favourites against the Commanders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Commanders (+7) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 50.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Ravens and the Commanders have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 50.5-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Ravens vs Commanders: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Washington at $3.60 with Bet365
- Line: Commanders +7 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 50.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
While the Ravens have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Commanders to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Ravens vs Commanders: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Ravens vs Commanders at M&T Bank Stadium in Week 6 is the Ravens winning 28-22.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Baltimore vs Washington game in Week 6, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Ravens vs Commanders prediction.
Ravens vs Commanders: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Ravens vs Commanders? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Baltimore's Derrick Henry is the most likely player to score the first TD in Ravens vs Commanders.
Henry has a 19.1% chance of scoring the first TD at M&T Bank Stadium, while the Ravens RB has a 71.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Ravens First TD Tips
- Derrick Henry: 19.1% probability
- Lamar Jackson: 8.7% probability
- Zay Flowers: 7.6% probability
- Rashod Bateman: 4.8% probability
- Justice Hill: 4.7% probability
Commanders First TD Tips
- Jayden Daniels: 10.2% probability
- Austin Ekeler: 8.2% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 6.6% probability
- Jeremy McNichols: 3.9% probability
- Noah Brown: 3.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Ravens Anytime TD Tips
- Derrick Henry: 71.2% probability
- Lamar Jackson: 41.2% probability
- Zay Flowers: 36.3% probability
- Rashod Bateman: 26.5% probability
- Mark Andrews: 24.6% probability
Commanders Anytime TD Tips
- Jayden Daniels: 48.5% probability
- Austin Ekeler: 40.7% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 34.3% probability
- Jeremy McNichols: 20.3% probability
- Noah Brown: 20.0% probability
Ravens-Commanders Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Ravens' Lamar Jackson is projected for 244 passing yards. The Commanders' Jayden Daniels is expected to throw for 186 yards.
Ravens Starting QB
- Lamar Jackson: 244 projected passing yards
Commanders Starting QB
- Jayden Daniels: 186 projected passing yards
Ravens Rushing Yards
- Derrick Henry: 80 projected yards
- Lamar Jackson: 54 projected yards
- Justice Hill: 14 projected yards
Commanders Rushing Yards
- Jayden Daniels: 41 projected yards
- Austin Ekeler: 41 projected yards
- Jeremy McNichols: 24 projected yards
Ravens Receiving Yards
- Zay Flowers: 56 projected yards
- Rashod Bateman: 34 projected yards
- Mark Andrews: 33 projected yards
- Isaiah Likely: 28 projected yards
- Justice Hill: 19 projected yards
Commanders Receiving Yards
- Terry McLaurin: 66 projected yards
- Noah Brown: 38 projected yards
- Luke McCaffrey: 25 projected yards
- Zach Ertz: 24 projected yards
- Austin Ekeler: 22 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Baltimore vs Washington game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Ravens vs Commanders: Week 6 Essential Details
The NFL Week 6 game between the Ravens and Commanders at M&T Bank Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Baltimore Ravens vs Washington Commanders
- Date: Monday 14 October 2024
- Time: 4:00am AEDT
- Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Baltimore vs Washington predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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