Reds vs Mets Prediction and MLB Tips - 12 May 2023
May 11, 2023, 3:33AM
The Cincinnati Reds take on the New York Mets in MLB action at Great American Ball Park on Friday, beginning at 2:35am AEST.
The Reds will have Derek Law (2-4, 3.00 ERA) start, while the Mets will counter with Kodai Senga (4-1, 3.38 ERA).
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Reds vs Mets, plus the latest betting odds in Australia, are featured below.
Who will win? Reds vs Mets
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Cincinnati-NY Mets MLB game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Mets a 59% chance of beating the Reds at Great American Ball Park.
More: Full Betting Analysis for Reds vs Mets
Reds vs Mets MLB Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Friday's MLB game at Great American Ball Park are shown here:
- Head to Head: Reds $2.70, Mets $1.50
- Line: Reds +1.5 ($2.10), Mets -1.5 ($1.77)
- Total (Over/Under 10 Runs): Over $1.87, Under $1.95
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Reds to win at $2.70 and the Mets to win at $1.50.
The Reds are listed as 1.5-run underdogs against the Mets, with odds of $2.10 currently on offer at bet365.
For the favourite Mets (-1.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.77.
The Over/Under for total runs scored has been set at 10 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.87 and odds for the Under at $1.95.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Reds (+1.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the 10-run Over/Under has a 55% chance of staying Under.
More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports
Reds vs Mets Best Bets
- Head to Head: Cincinnati at $2.70 with bet365 (5.4% edge) 🔥
- Line: Reds +1.5 at $2.10 with bet365 (53% probability) 🔥
- Total Runs: Under 10 at $1.95 with bet365 (55% probability) 🔥
If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best bets for today across all sports.
Our Reds vs Mets predictions are based on market-leading modelling and betting expertise to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Mets have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Reds to win is our recommended option because of the 5.4% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
Reds vs Mets Prediction
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Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Cincinnati vs NY Mets on Friday, including pre-game predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Cincinnati vs NY Mets match-up at Great American Ball Park.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every MLB game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Reds vs Mets MLB 2023 Preview
The match-up between the Reds and Mets at Great American Ball Park is scheduled to start at 2:35am AEST on Friday.
- Game: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets
- Date: Friday 12 May 2023
- Time: 2:35am AEST
- Venue: Great American Ball Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Cincinnati vs NY Mets are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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