Richmond vs Brisbane Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 4, 2025

Richmond will take on the favoured Brisbane in AFL Round 4 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, beginning at 4:15pm AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Richmond vs Brisbane game, plus the latest betting odds.

Who Will Win?

Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Richmond vs Brisbane AFL match 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Lions a 95% chance of beating the Tigers in Round 4 of the 2025 AFL season.

Richmond vs Brisbane: Odds

The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Richmond $10.00, Brisbane $1.07
  • Line: Richmond +48.5 ($1.91), Brisbane -48.5 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 178.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Richmond at $10.00 and Brisbane at $1.07.

The Tigers are listed as 48.5-point underdogs against the Lions, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the favourite Lions (-48.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 178.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Tigers (+48.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 178.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.

Richmond vs Brisbane: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Brisbane at $1.07 with Bet365
  • Line: Richmond +48.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Under 178.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

Stats Insider's Richmond vs Brisbane best bets are based on market-leading modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

Richmond vs Brisbane: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs Brisbane at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday is Brisbane winning 111-66.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Richmond vs Brisbane match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Richmond vs Brisbane match.

As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Richmond vs Brisbane: Essential Details

The AFL Round 4 clash between the Tigers and Lions at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 4:15pm AEDT on Saturday.

  • Teams: Richmond vs Brisbane
  • Date: Saturday 5 April 2025
  • Time: 4:15pm AEDT
  • Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Richmond vs Brisbane predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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