Richmond vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 1, 2025
Last updated: Mar 11, 2025, 12:50AM | Published: Mar 10, 2025, 1:36AM
Richmond will face the favoured Carlton in AFL Round 1 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday, commencing at 7:30pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Richmond vs Carlton game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Richmond vs Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Blues a 96% chance of beating the Tigers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Richmond vs Carlton: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Richmond $10.00, Carlton $1.05
- Line: Richmond +49.5 ($1.91), Carlton -49.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 178.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Richmond at $10.00 and Carlton at $1.05.
The Tigers are listed as 49.5-point underdogs against the Blues, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Blues (-49.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 178.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both Richmond and Carlton have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 178.5-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Richmond vs Carlton: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Carlton at $1.05 with Bet365
- Line: Richmond +49.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 178.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Richmond vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs Carlton at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Thursday is Carlton winning 113-64.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Richmond vs Carlton match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Richmond vs Carlton match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Richmond vs Carlton: Essential Details
The AFL Round 1 clash between the Tigers and Blues at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 7:30pm AEDT on Thursday.
- Teams: Richmond vs Carlton
- Date: Thursday 13 March 2025
- Time: 7:30pm AEDT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Richmond vs Carlton predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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