Richmond vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 1, 2025
Last updated: Mar 11, 2025, 12:50AM | Published: Mar 10, 2025, 1:36AM
Richmond will take on the favoured Carlton in AFL Round 1 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday, beginning at 7:30pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Richmond vs Carlton game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Richmond vs Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Blues a 96% chance of defeating the Tigers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Richmond vs Carlton: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: Richmond $11.00, Carlton $1.05
- Line: Richmond +48.5 ($1.91), Carlton -48.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 177.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Richmond at $11.00 and Carlton at $1.05.
The Tigers are 48.5-point underdogs against the Blues, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Blues (-48.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 177.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Blues (-48.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 177.5-point over/under is expected to go over 52% of the time.
Richmond vs Carlton: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Carlton at $1.05 with Bet365
- Line: Carlton -48.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 177.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Richmond vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs Carlton at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Thursday is Carlton winning 113-64.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Richmond vs Carlton match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Richmond vs Carlton game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Richmond vs Carlton: Essential Details
The AFL Round 1 clash between the Tigers and Blues at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 7:30pm AEDT on Thursday.
- Teams: Richmond vs Carlton
- Date: Thursday 13 March 2025
- Time: 7:30pm AEDT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Richmond vs Carlton predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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