Richmond vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 16, 2024
Last updated: Jun 30, 2024, 5:02AM | Published: Jun 23, 2024, 11:57PM
Richmond will sqaure off with the favoured Carlton in AFL Round 16 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, beginning at 3:20pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Richmond vs Carlton game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Richmond vs Carlton
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Richmond-Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Blues a 91% chance of defeating the Tigers in Round 16 of the 2024 AFL season.
More: Richmond vs Carlton Simulated 10K Times
Richmond vs Carlton: Odds
The current betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown here:
- Head to Head: Richmond $7.40, Carlton $1.14
- Line: Richmond +39.5 ($1.89), Carlton -39.5 ($2.08)
- Total (Over/Under 170.5 Points): Over $2.00, Under $1.98
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Richmond at $7.40 and Carlton at $1.14.
The Tigers are listed as 39.5-point underdogs against the Blues, with odds of $1.89 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the favourite Blues (-39.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.08.
The over/under for Richmond vs Carlton sits at 170.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $2.00 and odds for the under at $1.98.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Tigers (+39.5) have a 52% chance of covering the line, while the 170.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying Under.
More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports
Richmond vs Carlton: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Carlton at $1.14 with Betfair (91% probability)
- Line: Carlton -39.5 at $2.08 with Betfair
- Total Points: Under 170.5 at $1.98 with Betfair (54% probability)
Our Richmond vs Carlton predictions are based on detailed simulations and gambling intelligence to give you the best possible advice every day of the year.
Although the Tigers are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Blues -39.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Richmond vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs Carlton at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Sunday has Carlton winning 103-65.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Richmond vs Carlton on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Richmond vs Carlton: Goal Scorers
Searching for Richmond vs Carlton goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Carlton's Charlie Curnow is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Richmond vs Carlton.
Curnow has a 10.2% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Blues star has a 94.6% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Richmond
- Shai Bolton: 5.3% probability
- Dustin Martin: 4.2% probability
- Jacob Koschitzke: 3.6% probability
- Tim Taranto: 2.9% probability
- Liam Baker: 2.8% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 10.2% probability
- Harry McKay: 9.4% probability
- Matthew Owies: 5.5% probability
- Orazio Fantasia: 4.6% probability
- Elijah Hollands: 3.6% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Richmond
- Shai Bolton: 79.2% probability
- Dustin Martin: 71.7% probability
- Jacob Koschitzke: 62.8% probability
- Tim Taranto: 55.3% probability
- Liam Baker: 52.2% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 94.6% probability
- Harry McKay: 93.3% probability
- Matthew Owies: 77.7% probability
- Orazio Fantasia: 69.9% probability
- Elijah Hollands: 63.9% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Richmond vs Carlton game at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Richmond vs Carlton: Preview
The AFL Round 16 clash between the Tigers and Blues at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 3:20pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Richmond vs Carlton
- Date: Sunday 30 June 2024
- Time: 3:20pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Our Richmond vs Carlton predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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