Richmond vs Essendon Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 11, 2024
Last updated: May 25, 2024, 9:32AM | Published: May 20, 2024, 9:00AM
Richmond will sqaure off with the favoured Essendon in AFL Round 11 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, commencing at 7:40pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Richmond vs Essendon game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Richmond vs Essendon
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Richmond-Essendon AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Bombers an 89% chance of defeating the Tigers in Round 11 of the 2024 AFL season.
More: Richmond vs Essendon Match Centre
Richmond vs Essendon: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Richmond $6.00, Essendon $1.19
- Line: Richmond +36.5 ($1.94), Essendon -36.5 ($2.02)
- Total (Over/Under 163.5 Points): Over $2.00, Under $1.98
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Richmond at $6.00 and Essendon at $1.19.
The Tigers are listed as 36.5-point underdogs against the Bombers, with odds of $1.94 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Bombers (-36.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.02.
The Over/Under for Richmond vs Essendon is set at 163.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.00 and odds for the Under at $1.98.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Tigers (+36.5) have a 54% chance of covering the line, while the 163.5-point Over/Under has a 56% chance of going Over.
More: Best Bets Today for All Sports
Richmond vs Essendon: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Essendon at $1.19 with Betfair (89% probability) 🔥
- Line: Richmond +36.5 at $1.94 with Betfair (54% probability)
- Total Points: Over 163.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (56% probability) 🔥
If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across any sport.
These Richmond vs Essendon betting tips are based on detailed modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Richmond vs Essendon: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs Essendon at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Saturday has Essendon winning 99-66.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Richmond vs Essendon on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Richmond vs Essendon: Goal Scorers
Searching for Richmond vs Essendon goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Essendon's Kyle Langford is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Richmond vs Essendon.
Langford has a 9.1% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Bombers star has a 92.5% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Richmond
- Noah Cumberland: 4.6% probability
- Shai Bolton: 4.4% probability
- Dustin Martin: 4.1% probability
- Liam Baker: 2.5% probability
- Samson Ryan: 2.4% probability
Essendon
- Kyle Langford: 9.1% probability
- Peter Wright: 8.5% probability
- Jake Stringer: 8.2% probability
- Jade Gresham: 4.9% probability
- Matt Guelfi: 4.8% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Richmond
- Shai Bolton: 74.9% probability
- Noah Cumberland: 72.0% probability
- Dustin Martin: 68.5% probability
- Liam Baker: 52.5% probability
- Samson Ryan: 51.1% probability
Essendon
- Kyle Langford: 92.5% probability
- Peter Wright: 91.6% probability
- Jake Stringer: 90.6% probability
- Jade Gresham: 72.9% probability
- Matt Guelfi: 72.1% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Richmond vs Essendon match at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Richmond vs Essendon: Preview
The AFL Round 11 clash between the Tigers and Bombers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 7:40pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Richmond vs Essendon
- Date: Saturday 25 May 2024
- Time: 7:40pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our Richmond vs Essendon predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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