Richmond vs Geelong: Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 9, 2023
May 7, 2023, 10:50AM
Richmond squares off with the favoured Geelong in AFL Round 9 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, starting at 7:20pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Richmond vs Geelong, as well as the latest betting odds, are detailed in this article.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 9, 2023
Who Will Win: Richmond vs Geelong
Based on detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Richmond-Geelong AFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Cats a 59% chance of defeating the Tigers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
More: Richmond vs Geelong Simulated 10,000 Times
Richmond vs Geelong: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: Richmond $3.15, Geelong $1.45
- Line: Richmond +15.5 ($1.95), Geelong -15.5 ($2.02)
- Total (Over/Under 170.5 Points): Over $2.08, Under $1.87
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Richmond to win at $3.15 and Geelong to win at $1.45.
The Tigers are 15.5-point underdogs against the Cats, with odds of $1.95 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Cats (-15.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.02.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 170.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.08 and odds for the Under at $1.87.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Tigers (+15.5) have a 63% chance of covering the line, while the 170.5-point Over/Under has a 55% chance of staying Under.
More: AFL Premiership 2023 Probabilities and Odds
Richmond vs Geelong: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Richmond at $3.15 with Betfair (9.6% edge) 🔥
- Line: Richmond +15.5 at $1.95 with Betfair (63% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 170.5 at $1.87 with Betfair (55% probability)
When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across all sports.
These Richmond vs Geelong betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and betting experience to provide you with the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the Cats have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Tigers to win is our recommended option because of the 9.6% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the Betfair odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
Richmond vs Geelong: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs Geelong at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Friday has Geelong prevailing 87-80.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Richmond vs Geelong on Friday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live scores.
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Richmond vs Geelong game at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Coach Pressure Gauge 2023
Richmond vs Geelong: Preview
The AFL Round 9 clash between the Tigers and Cats at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 7:20pm AEST on Friday.
- Game: Richmond vs Geelong
- Date: Friday 12 May 2023
- Time: 7:20pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Richmond vs Geelong are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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