Richmond vs Hawthorn Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 14, 2024
Last updated: Jun 15, 2024, 6:01AM | Published: Jun 10, 2024, 11:24PM
Richmond will take on Hawthorn in AFL Round 14 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, commencing at 4:35pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Richmond vs Hawthorn game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Richmond vs Hawthorn
Using state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Richmond-Hawthorn AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Hawks a 67% chance of defeating the Tigers in Round 14 of the 2024 AFL season.
More: Richmond vs Hawthorn Match Centre
Richmond vs Hawthorn: Odds
The latest betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: Richmond $2.84, Hawthorn $1.53
- Line: Richmond +14.5 ($2.00), Hawthorn -14.5 ($1.97)
- Total (Over/Under 168.5 Points): Over $2.02, Under $1.92
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Richmond at $2.84 and Hawthorn at $1.53.
The Tigers are 14.5-point underdogs against the Hawks, with odds of $2.00 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the favourite Hawks (-14.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.97.
The over/under for Richmond vs Hawthorn has been set at 168.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $2.02 and odds for the under at $1.92.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Tigers (+14.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the over/under total of 168.5 points has a 57% chance of staying Under.
More: Best Bets Today for All Sports
Richmond vs Hawthorn: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $1.53 with Betfair (67% probability)
- Line: Richmond +14.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (53% probability)
- Total Points: Under 168.5 at $1.92 with Betfair (57% probability) 🔥
When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across all sports.
These Richmond vs Hawthorn predictions are based on market-leading modelling and betting intelligence to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
Richmond vs Hawthorn: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs Hawthorn at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday has Hawthorn winning 88-76.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Richmond vs Hawthorn on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live updates.
Richmond vs Hawthorn: Goal Scorers
Are you looking for Richmond vs Hawthorn goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Richmond's Tom Lynch is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Richmond vs Hawthorn.
Lynch has a 7.2% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Tigers star has an 88.8% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Richmond
- Tom Lynch: 7.2% probability
- Shai Bolton: 4.9% probability
- Noah Cumberland: 3.9% probability
- Dustin Martin: 3.9% probability
- Jacob Koschitzke: 2.9% probability
Hawthorn
- Luke Breust: 6.3% probability
- Jack Gunston: 5.8% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 4.9% probability
- Calsher Dear: 4.7% probability
- Mabior Chol: 4.6% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Richmond
- Tom Lynch: 88.8% probability
- Shai Bolton: 76.8% probability
- Noah Cumberland: 67.8% probability
- Dustin Martin: 66.3% probability
- Jacob Koschitzke: 56.8% probability
Hawthorn
- Luke Breust: 84.0% probability
- Jack Gunston: 81.0% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 77.1% probability
- Calsher Dear: 73.3% probability
- Mabior Chol: 72.6% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Richmond vs Hawthorn match at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Richmond vs Hawthorn: Preview
The AFL Round 14 clash between the Tigers and Hawks at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 4:35pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Richmond vs Hawthorn
- Date: Saturday 15 June 2024
- Time: 4:35pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Our Richmond vs Hawthorn predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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