Richmond vs Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 7, 2024
Last updated: Apr 24, 2024, 9:02AM | Published: Apr 21, 2024, 11:50PM
Richmond will face the favoured Melbourne in AFL Round 7 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Wednesday, starting at 7:25pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Richmond vs Melbourne game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Richmond vs Melbourne
Based on detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Wednesday's Richmond-Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Demons an 80% chance of beating the Tigers in Round 7 of the 2024 AFL season.
More: Richmond vs Melbourne Match Centre
Richmond vs Melbourne: Odds
The latest betting odds for Wednesday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown here:
- Head to Head: Richmond $5.50, Melbourne $1.21
- Line: Richmond +31.5 ($1.98), Melbourne -31.5 ($2.00)
- Total (Over/Under 164.5 Points): Over $2.04, Under $1.93
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Richmond at $5.50 and Melbourne at $1.21.
The Tigers are 31.5-point underdogs against the Demons, with odds of $1.98 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Demons (-31.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.00.
The Over/Under for Richmond vs Melbourne sits at 164.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.04 and odds for the Under at $1.93.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Tigers (+31.5) have a 62% chance of covering the line, while the 164.5-point Over/Under has a 51% chance of going Over.
More: Best Bets for Every AFL Game
Richmond vs Melbourne: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Richmond at $5.50 with Betfair (1.7% edge)
- Line: Richmond +31.5 at $1.98 with Betfair (62% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Over 164.5 at $2.04 with Betfair (51% probability)
Every time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best bets for today across any sport.
Our Richmond vs Melbourne betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and wagering experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Demons have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Tigers to win is our preferred option because of the 1.7% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
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Richmond vs Melbourne: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs Melbourne at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Wednesday has Melbourne winning 94-70.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Richmond vs Melbourne on Wednesday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Richmond vs Melbourne: Goal Scorers
Looking for Richmond vs Melbourne goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Melbourne's Bayley Fritsch is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Richmond vs Melbourne.
Fritsch has a 7.4% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Demons star has an 88.8% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Richmond
- Dustin Martin: 6.1% probability
- Shai Bolton: 6.0% probability
- Liam Baker: 3.4% probability
- Seth Campbell: 3.3% probability
- Maurice Rioli: 2.8% probability
Melbourne
- Bayley Fritsch: 7.4% probability
- Kysaiah Pickett: 6.6% probability
- Christian Petracca: 5.2% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 4.5% probability
- Harrison Petty: 3.6% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Richmond
- Dustin Martin: 82.6% probability
- Shai Bolton: 82.3% probability
- Liam Baker: 62.3% probability
- Seth Campbell: 62.2% probability
- Maurice Rioli: 56.0% probability
Melbourne
- Bayley Fritsch: 88.8% probability
- Kysaiah Pickett: 84.6% probability
- Christian Petracca: 80.1% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 72.8% probability
- Kade Chandler: 63.0% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Richmond vs Melbourne game at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, check out our Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Richmond vs Melbourne: Preview
The AFL Round 7 clash between the Tigers and Demons at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 7:25pm AEST on Wednesday.
- Teams: Richmond vs Melbourne
- Date: Wednesday 24 April 2024
- Time: 7:25pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our Richmond vs Melbourne predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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