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Richmond vs St Kilda Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 22, 2024

Richmond will take on the favoured St Kilda in AFL Round 22 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, commencing at 3:20pm AEST.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Richmond vs St Kilda game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Richmond vs St Kilda AFL match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Saints a 77% chance of defeating the Tigers in Round 22 of the 2024 AFL season.

Richmond vs St Kilda: Odds

The latest betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Richmond $4.30, St Kilda $1.30
  • Line: Richmond +24.5 ($1.96), St Kilda -24.5 ($2.02)
  • Total (Over/Under 162.5 Points): Over $1.99, Under $2.00

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Richmond at $4.30 and St Kilda at $1.30.

The Tigers are listed as 24.5-point underdogs against the Saints, with odds of $1.96 available at Betfair.

For the favourite Saints (-24.5) to cover the line, Betfair offers odds of $2.02.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 162.5 with Betfair, which has odds of $1.99 for the over and $2.00 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Tigers (+24.5) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 162.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.

Richmond vs St Kilda: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: St Kilda at $1.30 with Betfair (77% probability)
  • Line: Richmond +24.5 at $1.96 with Betfair (56% probability) 🔥
  • Total Points: Under 162.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (51% probability)

If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across any sport.

Today's Richmond vs St Kilda predictions are based on world-class simulations and betting expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

Richmond vs St Kilda: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs St Kilda at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday is St Kilda winning 90-70.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Richmond vs St Kilda match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

Richmond vs St Kilda: Goal Kickers

Looking for Richmond vs St Kilda goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Richmond's Shai Bolton is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Richmond vs St Kilda.

Bolton has a 7.1% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Tigers star has an 85.4% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.

Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Richmond

  • Shai Bolton: 7.1% probability
  • Jacob Koschitzke: 4.6% probability
  • Jacob Bauer: 3.6% probability
  • Rhyan Mansell: 3.2% probability
  • Seth Campbell: 3.0% probability

St Kilda

  • Jack Higgins: 6.4% probability
  • Cooper Sharman: 5.9% probability
  • Tim Membrey: 5.8% probability
  • Mason Wood: 4.4% probability
  • Mitch Owens: 4.4% probability

Anytime Goal Kicker Tips

Richmond

  • Shai Bolton: 85.4% probability
  • Jacob Koschitzke: 69.4% probability
  • Jacob Bauer: 61.5% probability
  • Rhyan Mansell: 57.7% probability
  • Seth Campbell: 54.0% probability

St Kilda

  • Jack Higgins: 83.3% probability
  • Tim Membrey: 79.1% probability
  • Cooper Sharman: 77.3% probability
  • Mason Wood: 71.7% probability
  • Anthony Caminiti: 71.2% probability

Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Richmond vs St Kilda game.

As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Richmond vs St Kilda: Essential Details

The AFL Round 22 clash between the Tigers and Saints at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 3:20pm AEST on Sunday.

  • Teams: Richmond vs St Kilda
  • Date: Sunday 11 August 2024
  • Time: 3:20pm AEST
  • Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Our Richmond vs St Kilda predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on the AFL

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, tips for every AFL game, and futures probabilities for the AFL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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