Richmond vs St Kilda Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 4, 2024
Last updated: Apr 7, 2024, 5:01AM | Published: Apr 1, 2024, 11:34PM
Richmond will play the favoured St Kilda in AFL Round 4 action at Norwood Oval on Sunday, commencing at 3:20pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Richmond vs St Kilda game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Richmond vs St Kilda
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Richmond-St Kilda AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Saints a 65% chance of beating the Tigers in Round 4 of the 2024 AFL season.
More: Richmond vs St Kilda Match Centre
Richmond vs St Kilda: Odds
The current betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Norwood Oval are shown here:
- Head to Head: Richmond $3.00, St Kilda $1.49
- Line: Richmond +18.5 ($1.85), St Kilda -18.5 ($2.12)
- Total (Over/Under 164.5 Points): Over $1.83, Under $2.08
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Richmond at $3.00 and St Kilda at $1.49.
The Tigers are listed as 18.5-point underdogs against the Saints, with odds of $1.85 currently available at TAB.
For the favourite Saints (-18.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $2.12.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 164.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.83 and odds for the Under at $2.08.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Tigers (+18.5) have a 61% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 164.5 points has a 52% chance of staying Under.
More: Predictions for Every AFL Match
Richmond vs St Kilda: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Richmond at $3.00 with (1.2% edge)
- Line: Richmond +18.5 at $1.85 with Betfair (61% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 164.5 at $2.08 with Betfair (52% probability)
Every time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across all sports.
Our Richmond vs St Kilda betting tips are based on complex modelling and wagering experience to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Saints have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Tigers to win is our recommended option due to the 1.2% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a punter.
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Richmond vs St Kilda: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs St Kilda at Norwood Oval on Sunday has St Kilda winning 87-76.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Richmond vs St Kilda on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, computer tips, and live win probabilities.
Richmond vs St Kilda: Goal Scorers
Are you looking for Richmond vs St Kilda goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, St Kilda's Max King is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Richmond vs St Kilda.
King has a 7.9% chance of kicking the first goal at Norwood Oval, while the Saints star has a 90.6% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Richmond
- Dustin Martin: 5.5% probability
- Shai Bolton: 5.3% probability
- Jacob Koschitzke: 4.2% probability
- Tim Taranto: 3.5% probability
- Seth Campbell: 3.5% probability
St Kilda
- Max King: 7.9% probability
- Tim Membrey: 7.1% probability
- Jack Higgins: 6.4% probability
- Anthony Caminiti: 4.3% probability
- Mitch Owens: 3.9% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Richmond
- Dustin Martin: 80.0% probability
- Shai Bolton: 77.8% probability
- Jacob Koschitzke: 69.0% probability
- Seth Campbell: 63.4% probability
- Tim Taranto: 62.8% probability
St Kilda
- Max King: 90.6% probability
- Tim Membrey: 85.0% probability
- Jack Higgins: 82.7% probability
- Anthony Caminiti: 70.5% probability
- Dan Butler: 64.9% probability
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Richmond vs St Kilda game at Norwood Oval.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Richmond vs St Kilda: Preview
The AFL Round 4 clash between the Tigers and Saints at Norwood Oval is scheduled to start at 3:20pm AEST on Sunday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our Richmond vs St Kilda predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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