Richmond vs Western Bulldogs Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 9, 2024
Last updated: May 11, 2024, 7:33AM | Published: May 6, 2024, 2:45AM
Richmond will play the favoured Western Bulldogs in AFL Round 9 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 7:30pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Richmond vs Western Bulldogs game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Richmond vs Western Bulldogs
Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Richmond-Western Bulldogs AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Bulldogs a 71% chance of beating the Tigers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
More: Richmond vs Western Bulldogs Simulated 10K Times
Richmond vs Western Bulldogs: Odds
The latest betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown here:
- Head to Head: Richmond $3.15, Bulldogs $1.45
- Line: Richmond +18.5 ($1.89), Bulldogs -18.5 ($2.08)
- Total (Over/Under 167.5 Points): Over $2.02, Under $1.84
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Richmond at $3.15 and the Bulldogs at $1.45.
The Tigers are 18.5-point underdogs against the Bulldogs, with odds of $1.89 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Bulldogs (-18.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.08.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 167.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.02 and odds for the Under at $1.84.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Tigers (+18.5) have a 55% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 167.5 points has a 55% chance of staying Under.
More: Predictions for Every AFL Game
Richmond vs Western Bulldogs: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Bulldogs at $1.45 with Betfair (71% probability)
- Line: Richmond +18.5 at $1.89 with Betfair (55% probability)
- Total Points: Under 167.5 at $1.84 with Betfair (55% probability)
Today's Richmond vs Western Bulldogs predictions are based on market-leading simulations and betting experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Richmond vs Western Bulldogs: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs Western Bulldogs at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Saturday has the Bulldogs winning 89-74.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Richmond vs Western Bulldogs on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Richmond vs Bulldogs: Goal Kickers
Searching for Richmond vs Bulldogs goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Western's Jamarra Ugle-Hagan is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Richmond vs Western.
Ugle-Hagan has an 8.0% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Bulldogs star has a 90.1% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Richmond
- Noah Cumberland: 6.3% probability
- Dustin Martin: 5.7% probability
- Shai Bolton: 5.2% probability
- Maurice Rioli: 3.1% probability
- Rhyan Mansell: 3.1% probability
Western Bulldogs
- Jamarra Ugle-Hagan: 8.0% probability
- Aaron Naughton: 7.6% probability
- Marcus Bontempelli: 4.8% probability
- Sam Darcy: 4.7% probability
- Rhylee West: 4.0% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Richmond
- Noah Cumberland: 83.2% probability
- Dustin Martin: 80.2% probability
- Shai Bolton: 78.3% probability
- Maurice Rioli: 60.2% probability
- Rhyan Mansell: 52.2% probability
Western Bulldogs
- Jamarra Ugle-Hagan: 90.1% probability
- Aaron Naughton: 88.3% probability
- Sam Darcy: 74.5% probability
- Marcus Bontempelli: 72.9% probability
- Rhylee West: 66.3% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Richmond vs Bulldogs game at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Richmond vs Western Bulldogs: Preview
The AFL Round 9 clash between the Tigers and Bulldogs at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 7:30pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Richmond vs Western Bulldogs
- Date: Saturday 11 May 2024
- Time: 7:30pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our Richmond vs Bulldogs predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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