Roberto Carballes Baena vs Jordan Thompson Prediction - ATP Madrid Open 2025
Apr 22, 2025, 2:06PM
Roberto Carballes Baena will sqaure off with Jordan Thompson in the round of 128 at the 2025 ATP Madrid Open tournament on Wednesday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Carballes Baena vs Thompson match, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Wednesday's Carballes Baena-Thompson men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives Carballes Baena a 53% chance of beating Thompson at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Carballes Baena vs Thompson: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Wednesday's ATP Madrid Open match between Carballes Baena and Thompson are shown here:
- Head to Head: Carballes Baena $1.61, Thompson $2.30
- First Set: Carballes Baena $1.66, Thompson $2.20
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Carballes Baena at $1.61 and Thompson at $2.30.
TAB currently has odds for Carballes Baena to win the first set at $1.66 and odds for Thompson to win the first set at $2.20.
Carballes Baena vs Thompson: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Thompson at $2.30 with TAB
- First Set: Thompson at $1.83 with TAB (50% probability)
If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best tips for today across all sports.
These Roberto Carballes Baena vs Jordan Thompson betting tips are based on detailed simulations and gambling expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Even though our predictive analytics model indicates that Carballes Baena is more likely to win the match, taking Thompson to win is the best option because of the 5.5% edge we found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently being offered.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable over the long run.
And while Carballes Baena is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Thompson ($1.83) is based on the expectation of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Carballes Baena vs Thompson: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Roberto Carballes Baena vs Jordan Thompson match at the ATP Madrid Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Carballes Baena-Thompson match at the ATP Madrid Open event.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every tennis match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Carballes Baena vs Thompson: ATP Madrid Open Essential Details
The 2025 ATP Madrid Open match between Roberto Carballes Baena and Jordan Thompson is scheduled to start at 9:20pm AEST.
- Match: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Jordan Thompson
- Date: Wednesday 23 April 2025
- Approx. Time: 9:20pm AEST
- Event: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Roberto Carballes Baena vs Jordan Thompson predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on Tennis
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on tennis in Australia, with the latest tennis betting news, predictions for every tennis tournament, and our in-house approach to accurately ranking the world's top 100 men's and women's players.
