Roosters vs Dragons Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 8, 2023
Apr 16, 2023, 7:20AM
The Roosters play the Dragons in NRL Round 8 action at Allianz Stadium on Tuesday, starting at 4:05pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Roosters vs Dragons, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who will win? Roosters vs Dragons
Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Tuesday's Sydney-St George Illawarra NRL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Roosters a 76% chance of beating the Dragons at Allianz Stadium.
More: Roosters vs Dragons Simulated 10,000 Times
Roosters vs Dragons Odds
The current betting odds for Tuesday's NRL clash at Allianz Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Roosters $1.20, Dragons $4.50
- Line: Roosters -13.5 ($1.90), Dragons +13.5 ($1.90)
- Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $1.95, Under $1.85
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Roosters to win at $1.20 and the Dragons to win at $4.50.
The Roosters are 13.5-point favourites against the Dragons, with odds of $1.90 currently available at TAB.
For the underdog Dragons (+13.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.90.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 42.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.95 and odds for the Under at $1.85.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Dragons (+13.5) have a 55% chance of covering the line, while the 42.5-point Over/Under has a 51% chance of staying Under.
More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports
Roosters vs Dragons Best Bets
- Head to Head: St George at $4.50 with TAB (1.5% edge)
- Line: Dragons +13.5 at $1.90 with TAB (55% probability)
- Total Points: Over 42.5 at $1.95 with TAB
Stats Insider's Roosters vs Dragons betting tips are based on world-class modelling and gambling expertise to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Roosters have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dragons to win is our recommended option because of the 1.5% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
Furthermore, despite the Under being more likely to hit in this game, Over 42.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($1.95) that are available from TAB.
Roosters vs Dragons NRL Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Roosters vs Dragons at Allianz Stadium on Tuesday has the Roosters winning 26-15.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Roosters vs St George on Tuesday, including pre-match predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Roosters vs Dragons Try Scorers
Looking for Roosters vs Dragons try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Roosters' Daniel Tupou is the most likely player to score the first try in Sydney vs St George Illawarra.
Tupou has a 10.5% chance of scoring the first try at Allianz Stadium, while the Roosters star has a 51.7% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Sydney Roosters
- Daniel Tupou: 10.5% probability
- Jaxson Paulo: 8.6% probability
- James Tedesco: 6.9% probability
- Paul Momirovski: 5.6% probability
- Angus Crichton: 5.0% probability
St George Illawarra St George
- Tautau Moga: 5.4% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 4.6% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 4.0% probability
- Ben Hunt: 3.9% probability
- Zac Lomax: 3.4% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Sydney Roosters
- Daniel Tupou: 51.7% probability
- Jaxson Paulo: 48.4% probability
- James Tedesco: 38.8% probability
- Paul Momirovski: 32.4% probability
- Angus Crichton: 31.5% probability
St George Illawarra St George
- Tautau Moga: 31.7% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 28.2% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 26.8% probability
- Zac Lomax: 23.4% probability
- Ben Hunt: 23.1% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Roosters vs Dragons game at Allianz Stadium.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get the best tips on every NRL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2023
Roosters vs Dragons NRL 2023
The NRL Round 8 clash between the Roosters and Dragons at Allianz Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:05pm AEST on Tuesday.
- Game: Sydney Roosters vs St George Illawarra Dragons
- Date: Tuesday 25 April 2023
- Kick-off: 4:05pm AEST
- Location: Allianz Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
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