Roosters vs Rabbitohs Prediction and Odds - NRL Round 3, 2023

Last updated: Mar 12, 2023, 7:35AM | Published: Mar 12, 2023, 7:35AM

The Roosters square off with the Rabbitohs in NRL Round 3 action at Allianz Stadium on Friday, with kick-off at 8:00pm AEDT.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for Roosters vs Rabbitohs, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed in this article.

Who will win? Roosters vs Rabbitohs

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Sydney-South Sydney NRL game 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Rabbitohs a 55% chance of beating the Roosters in Round 3 of the 2023 NRL season.

More: Roosters vs Rabbitohs Simulated 10K Times

Roosters vs Rabbitohs Latest Odds

The current betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at Allianz Stadium are listed here:

Head to Head: Roosters $2.20, Rabbitohs $1.67
Line: Roosters +2.5 ($1.90), Rabbitohs -2.5 ($1.90)
Total (Over/Under 40.5 Points): Over $2.00, Under $1.80

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Roosters to win at $2.20 and the Rabbitohs to win at $1.67.

The Roosters are listed as 2.5-point underdogs against the Rabbitohs, with odds of $1.90 currently on offer at TAB.

For the favourite Rabbitohs (-2.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.90.

The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 40.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.00 and odds for the Under at $1.80.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Roosters (+2.5) have a 54% chance of covering the line, while the 40.5-point Over/Under has a 55% chance of going Over.

More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports

Roosters vs Rabbitohs NRL Best Bets

Head to Head: Roosters at $2.20 with TAB
Line: Roosters +2.5 at $1.90 with TAB (54% probability)
Total Points: Over 40.5 at $2.00 with TAB (55% probability) 🔥

When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best tips for today across any sport.

Our Roosters vs Rabbitohs predictions are based on world-class simulations and betting experience to give you the best possible advice every time.

While the Rabbitohs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Roosters to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the TAB odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.

Roosters vs Rabbitohs NRL Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Roosters vs Rabbitohs at Allianz Stadium on Friday has the Rabbitohs winning 21-20.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

For more information, click or tap See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Roosters vs Souths on Friday, including pre-match predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Roosters vs Rabbitohs Try Scorers

Are you looking for Roosters vs Rabbitohs try scorers? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, the Rabbitohs' Alex Johnston is the most likely player to score the first try in Sydney vs South Sydney.

Johnston has a 13.5% chance of scoring the first try at Allianz Stadium, while the Rabbitohs star has a 56.5% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.

Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.

First Try Scorer Tips

Sydney Roosters

Daniel Tupou: 7.7% probability
Jaxson Paulo: 6.6% probability
James Tedesco: 5.7% probability
Joseph Manu: 4.3% probability
Joseph-Aukuso Suaalii: 4.2% probability

South Sydney Rabbitohs

Alex Johnston: 13.5% probability
Izaac Tu’itupou: 4.9% probability
Campbell Graham: 4.5% probability
Latrell Mitchell: 4.4% probability
Cody Walker: 4.4% probability

Anytime Try Scorer Tips

Sydney Roosters

Daniel Tupou: 41.4% probability
Jaxson Paulo: 35.5% probability
James Tedesco: 32.4% probability
Joseph Manu: 25.9% probability
Joseph-Aukuso Suaalii: 24.8% probability

South Sydney Rabbitohs

Alex Johnston: 56.5% probability
Latrell Mitchell: 29.8% probability
Izaac Tu’itupou: 29.8% probability
Cody Walker: 28.2% probability
Campbell Graham: 26.9% probability

Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Roosters vs Rabbitohs game at Allianz Stadium.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NRL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2023

Roosters vs Rabbitohs NRL 2023

The NRL Round 3 clash between the Roosters and Rabbitohs at Allianz Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:00pm AEDT on Friday.

Game: Sydney Roosters vs South Sydney Rabbitohs
Date: Friday 17 March 2023
Kick-off: 8:00pm AEDT
Location: Allianz Stadium

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.