Sabres vs Maple Leafs Prediction and NHL Tips - 22 December 2023

Last updated: Dec 22, 2023, 12:09AM | Published: Dec 20, 2023, 6:45PM

The Buffalo Sabres will face the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action at KeyBank Center on Friday, commencing at 11:00am AEDT.

Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Sabres vs Maple Leafs game, as well as the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are featured in this article.

Who Will Win: Sabres vs Maple Leafs

Using detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Buffalo-Toronto NHL game 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Maple Leafs a 56% chance of defeating the Sabres at KeyBank Center.

More: Sabres vs Maple Leafs Match Centre

Sabres vs Maple Leafs: Odds

The latest Betfair betting odds in Australia for Friday's NHL game at KeyBank Center are listed here:

Head to Head: Sabres $2.34, Maple Leafs $1.72
Line: Sabres +1.5 ($1.56), Maple Leafs -1.5 ($2.66)
Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $1.71, Under $2.38

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Sabres at $2.34 and the Maple Leafs at $1.72.

The Sabres are 1.5-goal underdogs against the Maple Leafs, with odds of $1.56 currently on offer at Betfair.

For the favourite Maple Leafs (-1.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.66.

The Over/Under for total goals scored has been set at 6.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.71 and odds for the Under at $2.38.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Sabres (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals has a 51% chance of going Over.

The best site for placing bets on the Sabres vs Maple Leafs game is Betfair, where you are able to bet against other NHL fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.

More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports

Sabres vs Maple Leafs: Best Bets

Head to Head: Buffalo at $2.34 with Betfair (1.0% edge)
Line: Sabres +1.5 at $1.56 with Betfair (64% probability)
Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $2.38 with Betfair (6.6% edge) 🔥

If you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across any sport.

Our Sabres vs Maple Leafs predictions are based on market-leading simulations and betting intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.

While the Maple Leafs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Sabres to win is our recommended option because of the 1.0% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.

Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable bettor in the long run.

Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 6.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($2.38) that are available from Betfair.

What's better than using one of the world's leading predictive analytics models to bet on the NHL? Now, you can use this helpful information to give you an edge when betting on something not to happen.

Before you get started, explore our comprehensive guide to lay betting on Betfair in Australia for expert tips and insights.

Sabres vs Maple Leafs: Prediction

For more information, click or tap on See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Buffalo vs Toronto on Friday, including pre-game predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Sabres vs Maple Leafs: Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Sabres vs Maple Leafs? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Toronto's Auston Matthews is the most likely player to score the first goal in Sabres vs Maple Leafs.

Matthews has an 11.5% chance of scoring the first goal at KeyBank Center, while the Maple Leafs star has a 54.6% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Sabres First Goal Scorer Tips

Tage Thompson: 6.8% probability
Alex Tuch: 5.8% probability
Jeff Skinner: 5.2% probability
Dylan Cozens: 4.3% probability
Casey Mittelstadt: 4.1% probability

Maple Leafs First Goal Scorer Tips

Auston Matthews: 11.5% probability
William Nylander: 7.1% probability
Mitchell Marner: 6.1% probability
John Tavares: 4.9% probability
Tyler Bertuzzi: 4.4% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Sabres Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Tage Thompson: 38.5% probability
Alex Tuch: 31.7% probability
Jeff Skinner: 30.5% probability
Dylan Cozens: 26.7% probability
Casey Mittelstadt: 23.4% probability

Maple Leafs Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Auston Matthews: 54.6% probability
William Nylander: 37.9% probability
Mitchell Marner: 33.1% probability
John Tavares: 27.9% probability
Tyler Bertuzzi: 25.9% probability

Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Buffalo vs Toronto match-up at KeyBank Center.

As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every NHL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Sabres vs Maple Leafs: Preview

The match-up between the Sabres and Maple Leafs at KeyBank Center is scheduled to start at 11:00am AEDT on Friday.

Teams: Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Date: Friday 22 December 2023
Time: 11:00am AEDT
Venue: KeyBank Center

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

Our Buffalo vs Toronto predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NHL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our NHL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NHL in Australia, with the latest NHL betting news, tips for every NHL game, and futures odds for the NHL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.