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Saints vs Browns Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 11, 2024

The New Orleans Saints will sqaure off with the Cleveland Browns in NFL Week 11 action at Caesars Superdome on Monday, starting at 5:00am AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Saints vs Browns game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's New Orleans vs Cleveland NFL game 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Browns a 53% chance of winning against the Saints in Week 11 of the NFL season.

Saints vs Browns: Odds

The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Caesars Superdome are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Saints $1.91, Browns $1.91
  • Line: Saints -1 ($1.91), Browns +1 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 44.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Saints at $1.91 and the Browns at $1.91.

The Saints are listed as 1-point favourites against the Browns, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Browns (+1) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 44.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Browns (+1) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 44.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 56% of the time.

Saints vs Browns: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Cleveland at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Line: Browns +1 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Under 44.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

 
Today's Saints vs Browns best bets are based on detailed modelling and wagering experience to give you the best possible advice around the clock.

Saints vs Browns: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Saints vs Browns at Caesars Superdome in Week 11 is the Browns winning 22-21.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the New Orleans vs Cleveland game in Week 11, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

Saints vs Browns: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score the first touchdown in Saints vs Browns? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, New Orleans' Alvin Kamara is the most likely player to score the first TD in Saints vs Browns.

Kamara has a 16.1% chance of scoring the first TD at Caesars Superdome, while the Saints RB has a 59.5% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Saints First TD Tips

  • Alvin Kamara: 16.1% probability
  • Taysom Hill: 8.0% probability
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 5.6% probability
  • Juwan Johnson: 4.5% probability
  • Cedrick Wilson: 3.3% probability

Browns First TD Tips

  • Nick Chubb: 11.3% probability
  • David Njoku: 7.6% probability
  • Jerry Jeudy: 7.5% probability
  • Cedric Tillman: 7.3% probability
  • Jerome Ford: 5.8% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Saints Anytime TD Tips

  • Alvin Kamara: 59.5% probability
  • Taysom Hill: 34.5% probability
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 26.2% probability
  • Juwan Johnson: 21.9% probability
  • Cedrick Wilson: 16.4% probability

Browns Anytime TD Tips

  • Nick Chubb: 47.0% probability
  • Cedric Tillman: 33.0% probability
  • David Njoku: 32.8% probability
  • Jerry Jeudy: 30.5% probability
  • Jerome Ford: 26.1% probability

Saints-Browns Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Saints' Derek Carr is projected for 220 passing yards. The Browns' Jameis Winston is expected to throw for 225 yards.

Saints Starting QB

  • Derek Carr: 220 projected passing yards

Browns Starting QB

  • Jameis Winston: 225 projected passing yards

Saints Rushing Yards

  • Alvin Kamara: 66 projected yards
  • Taysom Hill: 25 projected yards
  • Jamaal Williams: 11 projected yards

Browns Rushing Yards

  • Nick Chubb: 67 projected yards
  • Jerome Ford: 23 projected yards
  • Jameis Winston: 10 projected yards

Saints Receiving Yards

  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 35 projected yards
  • Alvin Kamara: 32 projected yards
  • Juwan Johnson: 23 projected yards
  • Cedrick Wilson: 23 projected yards
  • Mason Tipton: 20 projected yards

Browns Receiving Yards

  • Jerry Jeudy: 57 projected yards
  • Cedric Tillman: 54 projected yards
  • David Njoku: 50 projected yards
  • Elijah Moore: 36 projected yards
  • Jerome Ford: 17 projected yards

Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the New Orleans vs Cleveland game.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Saints vs Browns: Week 11 Essential Details

The NFL Week 11 match-up between the Saints and Browns at Caesars Superdome is scheduled to commence at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our New Orleans vs Cleveland predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NFL

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, predictions for every NFL game, and Super Bowl probabilities for the NFL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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