Saints vs Browns Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 11, 2024
Last updated: Nov 17, 2024, 6:01PM | Published: Nov 10, 2024, 11:21PM
The New Orleans Saints will take on the Cleveland Browns in what is expected to be a close NFL Week 11 game at Caesars Superdome on Monday, commencing at 5:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Saints vs Browns game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's New Orleans vs Cleveland NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Browns a 53% chance of beating the Saints in Week 11 of the NFL season.
Saints vs Browns: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Caesars Superdome are listed below:
- Head to Head: Saints $1.95, Browns $1.87
- Line: Saints +1 ($1.91), Browns -1 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 44 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Saints at $1.95 and the Browns at $1.87.
The Saints are listed as 1-point underdogs against the Browns, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Browns (-1) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 44 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Saints and the Browns have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 44-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Saints vs Browns: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Cleveland at $1.87 with Bet365
- Line: Browns -1 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 44 at $1.91 with Bet365
Saints vs Browns: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Saints vs Browns at Caesars Superdome in Week 11 is the Browns winning 22-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the New Orleans vs Cleveland game in Week 11, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Saints vs Browns prediction.
Saints vs Browns: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Saints vs Browns? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, New Orleans' Alvin Kamara is the most likely player to score the first TD in Saints vs Browns.
Kamara has a 16.1% chance of getting in for six first at Caesars Superdome, while the Saints RB has a 59.8% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Saints First TD Tips
- Alvin Kamara: 16.1% probability
- Taysom Hill: 7.8% probability
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 5.7% probability
- Juwan Johnson: 4.4% probability
- Mason Tipton: 3.1% probability
Browns First TD Tips
- Nick Chubb: 12.7% probability
- Cedric Tillman: 8.5% probability
- David Njoku: 7.8% probability
- Jerry Jeudy: 7.1% probability
- Elijah Moore: 5.9% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Saints Anytime TD Tips
- Alvin Kamara: 59.8% probability
- Taysom Hill: 33.6% probability
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 25.8% probability
- Juwan Johnson: 21.3% probability
- Mason Tipton: 15.0% probability
Browns Anytime TD Tips
- Nick Chubb: 49.2% probability
- Cedric Tillman: 36.2% probability
- David Njoku: 33.2% probability
- Jerry Jeudy: 31.6% probability
- Elijah Moore: 25.8% probability
Saints-Browns Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Saints' Derek Carr is projected for 216 passing yards. The Browns' Jameis Winston is expected to throw for 234 yards.
Saints Starting QB
- Derek Carr: 216 projected passing yards
Browns Starting QB
- Jameis Winston: 234 projected passing yards
Saints Rushing Yards
- Alvin Kamara: 70 projected yards
- Taysom Hill: 25 projected yards
- Jordan Mims: 14 projected yards
Browns Rushing Yards
- Nick Chubb: 71 projected yards
- Jerome Ford: 20 projected yards
- Jameis Winston: 11 projected yards
Saints Receiving Yards
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 34 projected yards
- Alvin Kamara: 33 projected yards
- Cedrick Wilson: 25 projected yards
- Juwan Johnson: 23 projected yards
- Mason Tipton: 19 projected yards
Browns Receiving Yards
- Jerry Jeudy: 57 projected yards
- Cedric Tillman: 55 projected yards
- David Njoku: 50 projected yards
- Elijah Moore: 37 projected yards
- Jerome Ford: 15 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the New Orleans vs Cleveland game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Saints vs Browns: Week 11 Essential Details
The NFL Week 11 game between the Saints and Browns at Caesars Superdome is scheduled to begin at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: New Orleans Saints vs Cleveland Browns
- Date: Monday 18 November 2024
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: Caesars Superdome
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our New Orleans vs Cleveland predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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