Saints vs Buccaneers Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 4, 2023
Last updated: Oct 1, 2023, 4:52PM | Published: Sep 26, 2023, 11:48AM
The New Orleans Saints take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in NFL Week 4 action at Caesars Superdome on Monday, commencing at 4:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Saints vs Buccaneers, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Saints vs Buccaneers
Using high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's New Orleans-Tampa Bay NFL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Saints a 65% chance of beating the Buccaneers at Caesars Superdome.
More: Saints vs Buccaneers Match Centre
Saints vs Buccaneers: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Caesars Superdome are shown here:
- Head to Head: Saints $1.45, Buccaneers $2.80
- Line: Saints -4.5 ($1.91), Buccaneers +4.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 41 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Saints at $1.45 and the Buccaneers at $2.80.
The Saints are 4.5-point favourites against the Buccaneers, with odds of $1.91 currently on offer at bet365.
For the underdog Buccaneers (+4.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 41 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Buccaneers (+4.5) have a 54% chance of covering the line, while the 41-point Over/Under is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds
Saints vs Buccaneers: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Tampa Bay at $2.80 with bet365 (0.8% edge)
- Line: Buccaneers +4.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (54% probability)
- Total Points: Under 41 at $1.91 with bet365 (50% probability)
Our Saints vs Buccaneers predictions are based on market-leading modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Saints have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Buccaneers to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Saints vs Buccaneers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Saints vs Buccaneers at Caesars Superdome in Week 4 has the Saints prevailing 22-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of New Orleans vs Tampa Bay in Week 4, including pre-game predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Saints vs Buccaneers: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Saints vs Buccaneers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Tampa Bay's Rachaad White is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Saints vs Buccaneers.
White has a 10.1% chance of scoring the first TD at Caesars Superdome, while the Buccaneers RB has a 39.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Saints First TD Tips
- Alvin Kamara: 9.6% probability
- Chris Olave: 9.5% probability
- Michael Thomas: 7.8% probability
- Rashid Shaheed: 7.8% probability
- Juwan Johnson: 4.9% probability
Buccaneers First TD Tips
- Rachaad White: 10.1% probability
- Mike Evans: 9.0% probability
- Chris Godwin: 8.0% probability
- Baker Mayfield: 5.3% probability
- Cade Otton: 3.9% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Saints Anytime TD Tips
- Alvin Kamara: 38.1% probability
- Chris Olave: 37.6% probability
- Rashid Shaheed: 32.8% probability
- Michael Thomas: 32.1% probability
- Juwan Johnson: 20.2% probability
Buccaneers Anytime TD Tips
- Rachaad White: 39.0% probability
- Mike Evans: 36.4% probability
- Chris Godwin: 32.4% probability
- Baker Mayfield: 22.4% probability
- Cade Otton: 16.8% probability
Saints-Buccaneers Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Saints' Derek Carr is projected for 224 passing yards. The Buccaneers' Baker Mayfield is expected to throw for 202 yards.
Saints Starting QB
- Derek Carr: 224 projected passing yards
Buccaneers Starting QB
- Baker Mayfield: 202 projected passing yards
Saints Rushing Yards
- Alvin Kamara: 49 projected yards
- Kendre Miller: 20 projected yards
- Taysom Hill: 14 projected yards
Buccaneers Rushing Yards
- Rachaad White: 50 projected yards
- Sean Tucker: 17 projected yards
- Baker Mayfield: 10 projected yards
Saints Receiving Yards
- Chris Olave: 70 projected yards
- Michael Thomas: 55 projected yards
- Rashid Shaheed: 35 projected yards
- Juwan Johnson: 30 projected yards
- Alvin Kamara: 28 projected yards
Buccaneers Receiving Yards
- Chris Godwin: 53 projected yards
- Mike Evans: 52 projected yards
- Cade Otton: 24 projected yards
- Rachaad White: 22 projected yards
- Deven Thompkins: 21 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the New Orleans vs Tampa Bay game at Caesars Superdome.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Saints vs Buccaneers: Week 4 Preview
The NFL Week 4 match-up between the Saints and Buccaneers at Caesars Superdome is scheduled to commence at 4:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Date: Monday 2 October 2023
- Time: 4:00am AEDT
- Venue: Caesars Superdome
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for New Orleans vs Tampa Bay have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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