Saints vs Commanders Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 15, 2024
Last updated: Dec 15, 2024, 6:00PM | Published: Dec 9, 2024, 12:35AM
The New Orleans Saints will face the favoured Washington Commanders in NFL Week 15 action at Caesars Superdome on Monday, beginning at 5:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Saints vs Commanders game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's New Orleans vs Washington NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Commanders a 76% chance of winning against the Saints in Week 15 of the NFL season.
Saints vs Commanders: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Caesars Superdome are listed below:
- Head to Head: Saints $4.10, Commanders $1.26
- Line: Saints +7.5 ($1.91), Commanders -7.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 45 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Saints at $4.10 and the Commanders at $1.26.
The Saints are 7.5-point underdogs against the Commanders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Commanders (-7.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 45 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookies have got it right and both the Saints and the Commanders have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 45-point over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.
Saints vs Commanders: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: New Orleans at $4.10 with Bet365
- Line: Commanders -7.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 45 at $1.91 with Bet365
While the Commanders have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Saints to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Saints vs Commanders: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Saints vs Commanders at Caesars Superdome in Week 15 is the Commanders winning 25-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the New Orleans vs Washington game in Week 15, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Saints vs Commanders prediction.
Saints vs Commanders: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Saints vs Commanders? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Washington's Jayden Daniels is the most likely player to score the first TD in Saints vs Commanders.
Daniels has a 12.3% chance of scoring the first TD at Caesars Superdome, while the Commanders QB has a 47.7% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Saints First TD Tips
- Alvin Kamara: 9.8% probability
- Jake Haener: 8.5% probability
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 5.1% probability
- Kendre Miller: 4.6% probability
- Juwan Johnson: 4.3% probability
Commanders First TD Tips
- Jayden Daniels: 12.3% probability
- Brian Robinson: 12.1% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 9.4% probability
- Zach Ertz: 5.3% probability
- Dyami Brown: 4.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Saints Anytime TD Tips
- Alvin Kamara: 40.5% probability
- Jake Haener: 35.3% probability
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 23.0% probability
- Kendre Miller: 21.9% probability
- Juwan Johnson: 19.6% probability
Commanders Anytime TD Tips
- Jayden Daniels: 47.7% probability
- Brian Robinson: 46.8% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 38.7% probability
- Zach Ertz: 24.2% probability
- Dyami Brown: 21.3% probability
Saints-Commanders Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Saints' Jake Haener is projected for 176 passing yards, while the Commanders' Jayden Daniels is expected to throw for 194 yards.
Saints Starting QB
- Jake Haener: 176 projected passing yards
Commanders Starting QB
- Jayden Daniels: 194 projected passing yards
Saints Rushing Yards
- Alvin Kamara: 55 projected yards
- Kendre Miller: 27 projected yards
- Jake Haener: 17 projected yards
Commanders Rushing Yards
- Brian Robinson: 69 projected yards
- Jayden Daniels: 42 projected yards
- Chris Rodriguez: 22 projected yards
Saints Receiving Yards
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 40 projected yards
- Juwan Johnson: 31 projected yards
- Alvin Kamara: 29 projected yards
- Foster Moreau: 23 projected yards
- Cedrick Wilson: 22 projected yards
Commanders Receiving Yards
- Terry McLaurin: 68 projected yards
- Zach Ertz: 36 projected yards
- Dyami Brown: 34 projected yards
- Brian Robinson: 23 projected yards
- Olamide Zaccheaus: 22 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the New Orleans vs Washington game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Saints vs Commanders: Week 15 Essential Details
The NFL Week 15 match-up between the Saints and Commanders at Caesars Superdome is scheduled to commence at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: New Orleans Saints vs Washington Commanders
- Date: Monday 16 December 2024
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: Caesars Superdome
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our New Orleans vs Washington predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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