Saints vs Falcons Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 10, 2024
Last updated: Nov 10, 2024, 6:01PM | Published: Nov 3, 2024, 6:02PM
The New Orleans Saints will take on the Atlanta Falcons in NFL Week 10 action at Caesars Superdome on Monday, commencing at 5:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Saints vs Falcons game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's New Orleans vs Atlanta NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Falcons a 63% chance of winning against the Saints at Caesars Superdome.
Saints vs Falcons: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Caesars Superdome are listed below:
- Head to Head: Saints $2.65, Falcons $1.50
- Line: Saints +3.5 ($1.91), Falcons -3.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 47.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Saints at $2.65 and the Falcons at $1.50.
The Saints are 3.5-point underdogs against the Falcons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Falcons (-3.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 47.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Saints and the Falcons have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 47.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Saints vs Falcons: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: New Orleans at $2.65 with Bet365
- Line: Falcons -3.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 47.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
While the Falcons have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Saints to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.
Saints vs Falcons: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Saints vs Falcons at Caesars Superdome in Week 10 is the Falcons winning 25-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the New Orleans vs Atlanta game in Week 10, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Saints vs Falcons prediction.
Saints vs Falcons: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Saints vs Falcons? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, New Orleans' Alvin Kamara is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Saints vs Falcons.
Kamara has a 15.4% chance of scoring the first TD at Caesars Superdome, while the Saints RB has a 59.1% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Saints First TD Tips
- Alvin Kamara: 15.4% probability
- Taysom Hill: 6.5% probability
- Juwan Johnson: 5.7% probability
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 3.9% probability
- Mason Tipton: 3.8% probability
Falcons First TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 14.0% probability
- Drake London: 9.5% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 7.6% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 7.4% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 6.2% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Saints Anytime TD Tips
- Alvin Kamara: 59.1% probability
- Taysom Hill: 31.7% probability
- Juwan Johnson: 28.2% probability
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 18.9% probability
- Mason Tipton: 18.5% probability
Falcons Anytime TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 55.9% probability
- Drake London: 41.3% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 32.8% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 32.7% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 28.3% probability
Saints-Falcons Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Saints' Derek Carr is projected for 217 passing yards. The Falcons' Kirk Cousins is expected to throw for 248 yards.
Saints Starting QB
- Derek Carr: 217 projected passing yards
Falcons Starting QB
- Kirk Cousins: 248 projected passing yards
Saints Rushing Yards
- Alvin Kamara: 68 projected yards
- Taysom Hill: 49 projected yards
- Jamaal Williams: 11 projected yards
Falcons Rushing Yards
- Bijan Robinson: 80 projected yards
- Tyler Allgeier: 40 projected yards
- Kirk Cousins: 8 projected yards
Saints Receiving Yards
- Mason Tipton: 40 projected yards
- Alvin Kamara: 33 projected yards
- Taysom Hill: 31 projected yards
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 30 projected yards
- Juwan Johnson: 28 projected yards
Falcons Receiving Yards
- Drake London: 76 projected yards
- Darnell Mooney: 55 projected yards
- Kyle Pitts: 36 projected yards
- Ray-Ray McCloud: 33 projected yards
- Bijan Robinson: 31 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the New Orleans vs Atlanta match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Saints vs Falcons: Week 10 Essential Details
The NFL Week 10 game between the Saints and Falcons at Caesars Superdome is scheduled to begin at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons
- Date: Monday 11 November 2024
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: Caesars Superdome
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our New Orleans vs Atlanta predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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