Saints vs Falcons Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 18, 2024

Last updated: Jan 7, 2024, 6:01PM | Published: Jan 1, 2024, 5:02AM

The New Orleans Saints will face the Atlanta Falcons in NFL Week 18 action at Caesars Superdome on Monday, commencing at 5:00am AEDT.

Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Saints vs Falcons game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed in this article.

Who Will Win: Saints vs Falcons

Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's New Orleans-Atlanta NFL game 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Saints a 62% chance of defeating the Falcons in Week 18 of the NFL season.

More: Saints vs Falcons Match Centre

Saints vs Falcons: Odds

The current Betfair betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Caesars Superdome are shown here:

Head to Head: Saints $1.60, Falcons $2.60
Line: Saints -3 ($1.87), Falcons +3 ($2.10)
Total (Over/Under 41.5 Points): Over $2.00, Under $1.96

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Saints at $1.60 and the Falcons at $2.60.

The Saints are listed as 3-point favourites against the Falcons, with odds of $1.87 currently available at Betfair.

For the underdog Falcons (+3) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.10.

The Over/Under for Saints vs Falcons is set at 41.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.00 and odds for the Under at $1.96.

According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Saints and the Falcons have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The 41.5-point Over/Under has a 54% chance of going Over.

The best site to place a bet on the Saints vs Falcons game is Betfair, where you are able to wager against other sports fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.

More: Best Bets Today for All Sports

Saints vs Falcons: Betting Tips

Head to Head: Atlanta at $2.60 with Betfair (1.0% edge)
Line: Falcons +3 at $2.10 with Betfair (50% probability)
Total Points: Over 41.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (54% probability)

Stats Insider's Saints vs Falcons predictions are based on complex modelling and gambling intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Saints have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Falcons to win is our preferred option due to the 1.0% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.

What could be better than using one of the world's leading predictive analytics models to bet on the NFL? Now, you can use this helpful information to give you an edge when betting on something not to happen.

Before you begin, explore our comprehensive guide to lay betting on Betfair in Australia for expert tips and insights.

Saints vs Falcons: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Saints vs Falcons at Caesars Superdome in Week 18 has the Saints winning 22-19.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full coverage of New Orleans vs Atlanta in Week 18, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.

Saints vs Falcons: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score the first touchdown in Saints vs Falcons? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is the most likely player to score the first TD in Saints vs Falcons.

Robinson has a 12.3% chance of getting in for six first at Caesars Superdome, while the Falcons RB has a 47.3% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Saints First TD Tips

Chris Olave: 10.3% probability
Jamaal Williams: 9.3% probability
Rashid Shaheed: 9.0% probability
Taysom Hill: 7.0% probability
Juwan Johnson: 6.9% probability

Falcons First TD Tips

Bijan Robinson: 12.3% probability
Drake London: 6.3% probability
Tyler Allgeier: 6.0% probability
Cordarrelle Patterson: 5.0% probability
Kyle Pitts: 4.8% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Saints Anytime TD Tips

Chris Olave: 41.8% probability
Jamaal Williams: 38.3% probability
Rashid Shaheed: 35.5% probability
Taysom Hill: 28.3% probability
Juwan Johnson: 27.7% probability

Falcons Anytime TD Tips

Bijan Robinson: 47.3% probability
Drake London: 27.1% probability
Tyler Allgeier: 26.3% probability
Kyle Pitts: 21.5% probability
Cordarrelle Patterson: 21.5% probability

Saints-Falcons Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Saints' Derek Carr is projected for 226 passing yards, while the Falcons' Taylor Heinicke is expected to throw for 224 yards.

Saints Starting QB

Derek Carr: 226 projected passing yards

Falcons Starting QB

Taylor Heinicke: 224 projected passing yards

Saints Rushing Yards

Jamaal Williams: 59 projected yards
Taysom Hill: 24 projected yards
Kendre Miller: 8 projected yards

Falcons Rushing Yards

Bijan Robinson: 68 projected yards
Tyler Allgeier: 40 projected yards
Cordarrelle Patterson: 17 projected yards

Saints Receiving Yards

Chris Olave: 73 projected yards
Rashid Shaheed: 46 projected yards
Juwan Johnson: 38 projected yards
Foster Moreau: 20 projected yards
A.T. Perry: 18 projected yards

Falcons Receiving Yards

Drake London: 53 projected yards
Kyle Pitts: 33 projected yards
Bijan Robinson: 23 projected yards
Jonnu Smith: 23 projected yards
Van Jefferson: 17 projected yards

Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the New Orleans vs Atlanta match-up at Caesars Superdome.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Saints vs Falcons: Week 18 Preview

The NFL Week 18 game between the Saints and Falcons at Caesars Superdome is scheduled to begin at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.

Teams: New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons
Date: Monday 8 January 2024
Time: 5:00am AEDT
Venue: Caesars Superdome

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.

Our New Orleans vs Atlanta predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.