Sea Eagles vs Knights Prediction and Odds - NRL Round 5, 2023
Mar 27, 2023, 8:30AM
The Sea Eagles play the Knights in NRL Round 5 action at Glen Willow Oval on Saturday, beginning at 3:00pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Sea Eagles vs Knights, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who will win? Sea Eagles vs Knights
Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's Manly-Newcastle NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Sea Eagles a 75% chance of winning against the Knights in Round 5 of the 2023 NRL season.
More: Sea Eagles vs Knights Simulated 10K Times
Sea Eagles vs Knights Betting Odds
The latest betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Glen Willow Oval are shown below:
- Head to Head: Sea Eagles $1.22, Knights $4.30
- Line: Sea Eagles -13.5 ($1.85), Knights +13.5 ($1.95)
- Total (Over/Under 45.5 Points): Over $1.85, Under $1.95
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Sea Eagles to win at $1.22 and the Knights to win at $4.30.
The Sea Eagles are listed as 13.5-point favourites against the Knights, with odds of $1.85 currently on offer at TAB.
For the underdog Knights (+13.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.95.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 45.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.85 and odds for the Under at $1.95.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Knights (+13.5) have a 54% chance of covering the line, while the 45.5-point Over/Under has a 51% chance of going Over.
More: Predictions for Every NRL Game
Sea Eagles vs Knights NRL Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Knights at $4.30 with TAB (1.9% edge)
- Line: Knights +13.5 at $1.95 with TAB (54% probability)
- Total Points: Under 45.5 at $1.95 with TAB
These Sea Eagles vs Knights betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and wagering expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Sea Eagles have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Knights to win is our recommended option due to the 1.9% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.
Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 45.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($1.95) that are available from TAB.
Sea Eagles vs Knights NRL Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Sea Eagles vs Knights at Glen Willow Oval this Saturday has the Sea Eagles winning 28-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Manly vs Knights on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, free tips, and live updates.
Sea Eagles vs Knights Try Scorers
Looking for Sea Eagles vs Knights try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Sea Eagles' Tom Trbojevic is the most likely player to score the first try in Manly vs Newcastle.
Trbojevic has a 11.2% chance of scoring the first try at Glen Willow Oval, while the Sea Eagles star has a 59.2% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Manly Sea Eagles
- Tom Trbojevic: 11.2% probability
- Reuben Garrick: 10.4% probability
- Christian Tuipulotu: 7.9% probability
- Haumole Olakau'atu: 6.8% probability
- Daly Cherry-Evans: 5.6% probability
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 6.3% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 5.8% probability
- Bradman Best: 3.6% probability
- Lachlan Miller: 3.4% probability
- Dane Gagai: 3.2% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Manly Sea Eagles
- Tom Trbojevic: 59.2% probability
- Reuben Garrick: 55.1% probability
- Christian Tuipulotu: 45.5% probability
- Haumole Olakau'atu: 37.7% probability
- Daly Cherry-Evans: 35.8% probability
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 37.9% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 35.6% probability
- Lachlan Miller: 23.7% probability
- Bradman Best: 23.3% probability
- Dane Gagai: 22.0% probability
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Sea Eagles vs Knights game at Glen Willow Oval.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every NRL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2023
Sea Eagles vs Knights NRL 2023
The NRL Round 5 clash between the Sea Eagles and Knights at Glen Willow Oval is scheduled to start at 3:00pm AEDT on Saturday.
- Game: Manly Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights
- Date: Saturday 1 April 2023
- Kick-off: 3:00pm AEDT
- Location: Glen Willow Oval
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
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