Spain vs Costa Rica World Cup 2022 Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips
Nov 20, 2022, 10:16PM
Spain takes on Costa Rica in Group E of the FIFA World Cup 2022 at Al Thumama Stadium in Qatar on Thursday, starting at 3:00am AEDT.
The FIFA World Cup is one of the biggest sporting events on the planet, and Costa Rica and Spain are among the 32 countries competing in Qatar in 2022.
Group E at the World Cup 2022 includes Spain, Costa Rica, Germany, and Japan. The top two teams from each group advance to the knockout phase.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Spain vs Costa Rica, as well as the latest betting odds via Betfair, are detailed in this article.
Who will win? Spain vs Costa Rica
Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Thursday's Spain-Costa Rica World Cup 2022 match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives Spain a 79.1% chance of winning, Costa Rica a 6.4% chance of winning, and the draw a 14.6% chance of occurring.
More: Spain vs Costa Rica Simulated 10,000 Times
Spain vs Costa Rica Best Odds
- Result: Spain $1.18, Costa Rica $21.00, Draw $9.20
- Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over $1.58, Under $2.70
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Betfair currently has Spain's odds to win at $1.18, with Costa Rica's odds to win at $21.00, and odds for the draw at $9.20 if you think the game will be all square after 90 minutes.
For Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Costa Rica vs Spain match, Betfair currently has odds for the Over at $1.58 and the Under at $2.70.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the 2.5-goal Over/Under has a 56% chance of going Over.
Spain vs Costa Rica Betting Tips
- Result: Costa Rica at $21.00 with Betfair (1.6% edge)
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 at $2.70 with Betfair (6.7% edge) 🔥
When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets today across any sport.
Stats Insider's predictions are based on complex simulations and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible advice 24/7.
Betting on Costa Rica to win is our preferred option because of the 1.6% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the best odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 2.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($2.70) that are available from Betfair.
For the top betting value throughout the World Cup 2022, we recommend betting with Betfair.
Spain vs Costa Rica Best Bets
Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Costa Rica vs Spain at the Qatar World Cup, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live scores.
Costa Rica vs Spain Goalscorers
Who will score a goal in Costa Rica vs Spain? The latest data is in.
The most likely first goal scorer and most likely anytime goal scorers for both Costa Rica and Spain are listed below.
According to Stats Insider, Álvaro Morata is the most likely player to score the first goal in Costa Rica vs Spain.
Morata has a 20.8% chance of scoring the first goal at Al Thumama Stadium, while the Spain star has a 45.3% chance of netting an anytime goal.
Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Probabilities
Costa Rica
- Anthony Contreras: 3.3% probability
- Jewison Bennette: 2.7% probability
- Joel Campbell: 2.6% probability
- Celso Borges: 1.1% probability
- Yeltsin Tejeda: 0.8% probability
Spain
- Álvaro Morata: 20.8% probability
- Ferran Torres: 17.1% probability
- Pablo Sarabia: 16.8% probability
- Gavi : 4.0% probability
- Pedri : 2.7% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities
Costa Rica
- Anthony Contreras: 9.5% probability
- Jewison Bennette: 8.5% probability
- Joel Campbell: 7.7% probability
- Celso Borges: 3.7% probability
- Francisco Calvo: 2.2% probability
Spain
- Álvaro Morata: 45.3% probability
- Ferran Torres: 38.9% probability
- Pablo Sarabia: 37.5% probability
- Gavi : 11.3% probability
- Jordi Alba: 7.6% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest expert analysis before the Costa Rica vs Spain match at Al Thumama Stadium.
As always, see our Value Summary for the best tips for every World Cup 2022 game, plus a host of other sports that Stats Insider offers predictions on.
How to Watch Spain vs Costa Rica World Cup 2022 in Australia
Thursday's FIFA World Cup action between Spain and Costa Rica at Al Thumama Stadium in Qatar is scheduled to start at 3:00am AEDT on Thursday.
- Game: Spain vs Costa Rica
- Date: Thursday 24 November 2022
- Time: 3:00am AEDT
- Channel: Live and free on SBS and SBS On Demand
All dates and times in this article are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
More About World Cup 2022
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the World Cup 2022, with the latest World Cup 2022 betting news, predictions for every World Cup 2022 game and futures probabilities for every stage of the World Cup 2022.
Want to use this free information and start betting on the World Cup 2022? Betfair has the best range of markets for the World Cup 2022.
