Spurs vs Nuggets Prediction and NBA Tips - 16 March 2024
Last updated: Mar 16, 2024, 12:36AM | Published: Mar 15, 2024, 12:47AM
The San Antonio Spurs will take on the favoured Denver Nuggets in NBA action at Frost Bank Center on Saturday, starting at 11:30am AEDT.
With the likes of Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell and Keldon Johnson, the Spurs are looking to overcome a Nuggets line-up that includes Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Michael Porter.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Spurs vs Nuggets game, as well as the latest betting odds and player props, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Spurs vs Nuggets
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's San Antonio-Denver NBA match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Nuggets a 79% chance of winning against the Spurs at Frost Bank Center.
More: Spurs vs Nuggets Match Centre
Spurs vs Nuggets: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds in Australia for Saturday's NBA game at Frost Bank Center are shown below:
- Head to Head: Spurs $5.50, Nuggets $1.21
- Line: Spurs +10.5 ($1.90), Nuggets -10.5 ($2.00)
- Total (Over/Under 224.5 Points): Over $1.93, Under $1.96
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Spurs at $5.50 and the Nuggets at $1.21.
The Spurs are 10.5-point underdogs against the Nuggets, with odds of $1.90 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Nuggets (-10.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.00.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 224.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.93 and odds for the Under at $1.96.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Spurs (+10.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 224.5 points is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports
Spurs vs Nuggets: Best Bets
- Head to Head: San Antonio at $5.50 with Betfair (2.4% edge)
- Line: Spurs +10.5 at $1.90 with Betfair (53% probability)
- Total Points: Under 224.5 at $1.96 with Betfair (50% probability)
These Spurs vs Nuggets betting tips are based on complex modelling and wagering experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Nuggets have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Spurs to win is our preferred option due to the 2.4% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Spurs vs Nuggets: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Spurs vs Nuggets at Frost Bank Center this Saturday has the Nuggets winning 117-107.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of San Antonio vs Denver on Saturday, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Spurs vs Nuggets: Player Props
Betting on Denver vs San Antonio player props? Stats Insider has crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Frost Bank Center.
Victor Wembanyama is expected to lead the way for the Spurs with 24 points, 11 rebounds and 5 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to finish with 33 points, 13 rebounds and 9 assists for the Nuggets.
Spurs Projected Box Score
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama | 24 | 11 | 5 |
| Devin Vassell | 21 | 4 | 5 |
| Keldon Johnson | 13 | 4 | 2 |
| Jeremy Sochan | 12 | 6 | 4 |
| Tre Jones | 11 | 4 | 7 |
Nuggets Projected Box Score
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 33 | 13 | 9 |
| Jamal Murray | 27 | 4 | 8 |
| Michael Porter | 17 | 8 | 2 |
| Aaron Gordon | 15 | 6 | 4 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 11 | 3 | 3 |
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the San Antonio vs Denver match-up at Frost Bank Center.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get the best tips for every NBA game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Spurs vs Nuggets: Preview
The NBA match-up between the Spurs and Nuggets at Frost Bank Center is scheduled to start at 11:30am AEDT on Saturday.
- Teams: San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets
- Date: Saturday 16 March 2024
- Time: 11:30am AEDT
- Venue: Frost Bank Center
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our San Antonio vs Denver predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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