St Kilda vs Brisbane Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 21, 2024
Last updated: Aug 4, 2024, 6:33AM | Published: Jul 28, 2024, 11:33AM
St Kilda will face Brisbane in AFL Round 21 action at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 4:40pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the St Kilda vs Brisbane game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's St Kilda vs Brisbane AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Lions a 57% chance of winning against the Saints at Marvel Stadium.
St Kilda vs Brisbane: Odds
The current betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: St Kilda $2.46, Brisbane $1.67
- Line: St Kilda +8.5 ($1.90), Brisbane -8.5 ($2.08)
- Total (Over/Under 166.5 Points): Over $1.98, Under $2.00
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has St Kilda at $2.46 and Brisbane at $1.67.
The Saints are 8.5-point underdogs against the Lions, with odds of $1.90 available at Betfair.
For the favourite Lions (-8.5) to cover the line, Betfair offers odds of $2.08.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 166.5 with Betfair, which has odds of $1.98 for the over and $2.00 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Saints (+8.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 166.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 56% of the time.
St Kilda vs Brisbane: Best Bets
- Head to Head: St Kilda at $2.46 with Betfair (1.9% edge)
- Line: St Kilda +8.5 at $1.90 with Betfair (54% probability)
- Total Points: Under 166.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (56% probability) 🔥
When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best tips of the day across all sports.
Our St Kilda vs Brisbane betting tips are based on detailed simulations and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Saints to win is our preferred option because of the 1.9% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
St Kilda vs Brisbane: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for St Kilda vs Brisbane at Marvel Stadium this Sunday is Brisbane winning 84-78.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the St Kilda vs Brisbane match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
St Kilda vs Brisbane: Goal Kickers
Are you looking for St Kilda vs Brisbane goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Brisbane's Joe Daniher is the most likely player to kick the first goal in St Kilda vs Brisbane.
Daniher has a 7.0% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Lions star has an 87.2% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
St Kilda
- Jack Higgins: 5.9% probability
- Tim Membrey: 4.8% probability
- Mason Wood: 4.2% probability
- Cooper Sharman: 4.0% probability
- Anthony Caminiti: 3.8% probability
Brisbane
- Joe Daniher: 7.0% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 5.0% probability
- Eric Hipwood: 4.8% probability
- Kai Lohmann: 4.1% probability
- Cam Rayner: 4.1% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
St Kilda
- Jack Higgins: 80.8% probability
- Tim Membrey: 74.3% probability
- Mason Wood: 69.1% probability
- Cooper Sharman: 67.3% probability
- Anthony Caminiti: 65.7% probability
Brisbane
- Joe Daniher: 87.2% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 78.5% probability
- Eric Hipwood: 75.9% probability
- Kai Lohmann: 67.6% probability
- Cam Rayner: 67.5% probability
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the St Kilda vs Brisbane game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
St Kilda vs Brisbane: Essential Details
The AFL Round 21 clash between the Saints and Lions at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:40pm AEST on Sunday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Our St Kilda vs Brisbane predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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