St Kilda vs Essendon Prediction and Odds - AFL Round 3, 2023
Mar 27, 2023, 1:45AM
St Kilda squares off with Essendon in AFL Round 3 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, beginning at 7:25pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for St Kilda vs Essendon, plus the latest betting odds, are featured in this article.
Who will win? St Kilda vs Essendon
Based on detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's St Kilda-Essendon AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Saints a 54% chance of beating the Bombers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
More: St Kilda vs Essendon Simulated 10,000 Times
St Kilda vs Essendon Current Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: St Kilda $1.78, Essendon $2.24
- Line: St Kilda -4.5 ($1.82), Essendon +4.5 ($2.00)
- Total (Over/Under 162.5 Points): Over $1.96, Under $1.72
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has St Kilda to win at $1.78 and Essendon to win at $2.24.
The Saints are 4.5-point favourites against the Bombers, with odds of $1.82 currently available at Betfair.
For the underdog Bombers (+4.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.00.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 162.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.96 and odds for the Under at $1.72.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bombers (+4.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the 162.5-point Over/Under has a 52% chance of staying Under.
More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports
St Kilda vs Essendon AFL Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Essendon at $2.24 with Betfair (1.3% edge)
- Line: Essendon +4.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (51% probability)
- Total Points: Over 162.5 at $1.96 with Betfair
Our St Kilda vs Essendon betting tips are based on complex simulations and wagering intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice every time.
While the Saints have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bombers to win is our recommended option because of the 1.3% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Furthermore, despite the Under being more likely to hit in this game, Over 162.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($1.96) that are available from Betfair.
St Kilda vs Essendon AFL Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for St Kilda vs Essendon at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday has St Kilda prevailing 82-79.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of St Kilda vs Essendon on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the St Kilda vs Essendon match at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2023
St Kilda vs Essendon AFL 2023
The AFL Round 3 clash between the Saints and Bombers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 7:25pm AEDT on Saturday.
- Game: St Kilda vs Essendon
- Date: Saturday 1 April 2023
- Time: 7:25pm AEDT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
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