St Kilda vs Essendon Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 20, 2024
Last updated: Jul 27, 2024, 6:33AM | Published: Jul 21, 2024, 10:37AM
St Kilda will sqaure off with Essendon in AFL Round 20 action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, starting at 4:35pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the St Kilda vs Essendon game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's St Kilda vs Essendon AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Bombers a 59% chance of defeating the Saints at Marvel Stadium.
St Kilda vs Essendon: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: St Kilda $2.36, Essendon $1.73
- Line: St Kilda +7.5 ($1.92), Essendon -7.5 ($2.06)
- Total (Over/Under 161.5 Points): Over $1.92, Under $2.06
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has St Kilda at $2.36 and Essendon at $1.73.
The Saints are listed as 7.5-point underdogs against the Bombers, with odds of $1.92 available at Betfair.
For the favourite Bombers (-7.5) to cover the line, Betfair offers odds of $2.06.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 161.5 with Betfair, which has odds of $1.92 for the over and $2.06 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Saints (+7.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 161.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
St Kilda vs Essendon: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Essendon at $1.73 with Betfair (59% probability)
- Line: Essendon -7.5 at $2.06 with Betfair (0.5% edge)
- Total Points: Under 161.5 at $2.06 with Betfair (50% probability)
These St Kilda vs Essendon best bets are based on market-leading modelling and betting experience to bring you the best possible advice every day of the year.
Although the Saints are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Bombers -7.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
St Kilda vs Essendon: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for St Kilda vs Essendon at Marvel Stadium on Saturday is Essendon prevailing 84-77.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the St Kilda vs Essendon match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
St Kilda vs Essendon: Goal Kickers
Searching for St Kilda vs Essendon goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Essendon's Kyle Langford is the most likely player to kick the first goal in St Kilda vs Essendon.
Langford has a 6.2% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Bombers star has an 85.3% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
St Kilda
- Jack Higgins: 5.8% probability
- Tim Membrey: 4.8% probability
- Mason Wood: 4.4% probability
- Cooper Sharman: 4.0% probability
- Anthony Caminiti: 3.9% probability
Essendon
- Kyle Langford: 6.2% probability
- Peter Wright: 5.9% probability
- Jake Stringer: 5.8% probability
- Nate Caddy: 4.3% probability
- Harrison Jones: 3.8% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
St Kilda
- Jack Higgins: 81.1% probability
- Tim Membrey: 74.6% probability
- Mason Wood: 69.5% probability
- Cooper Sharman: 67.7% probability
- Anthony Caminiti: 66.1% probability
Essendon
- Kyle Langford: 85.3% probability
- Jake Stringer: 81.2% probability
- Peter Wright: 81.0% probability
- Nate Caddy: 72.4% probability
- Jade Gresham: 63.5% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the St Kilda vs Essendon game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
St Kilda vs Essendon: Essential Details
The AFL Round 20 clash between the Saints and Bombers at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:35pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Our St Kilda vs Essendon predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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