St Kilda vs GWS Prediction and Tips - AFL Finals Week 1 2023

Last updated: Sep 9, 2023, 5:11AM | Published: Aug 28, 2023, 11:42PM

St Kilda squares off with GWS in AFL Finals Week 1 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 3:20pm AEST.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for St Kilda vs GWS, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.

More: Brownlow Predictor

Who Will Win: St Kilda vs GWS

Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's St Kilda-GWS AFL match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Giants a 58% chance of beating the Saints at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.

More: St Kilda vs GWS Match Centre

St Kilda vs GWS: Odds

The current Betfair betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:

Head to Head: St Kilda $2.26, GWS $1.78
Line: St Kilda +5.5 ($1.92), GWS -5.5 ($2.04)
Total (Over/Under 154.5 Points): Over $1.94, Under $2.02

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has St Kilda at $2.26 and GWS at $1.78.

The Saints are listed as 5.5-point underdogs against the Giants, with odds of $1.92 currently on offer at Betfair.

For the favourite Giants (-5.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.04.

The Over/Under for St Kilda vs GWS sits at 154.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.94 and odds for the Under at $2.02.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both St Kilda and GWS have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The Over/Under total of 154.5 points has a 54% chance of staying Under.

More: Predictions for Every AFL Match

St Kilda vs GWS: Betting Tips

Head to Head: GWS at $1.78 with Betfair (58% probability)
Line: GWS -5.5 at $2.04 with Betfair (50% probability)
Total Points: Under 154.5 at $2.02 with Betfair (54% probability) 🔥

When you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across all sports.

Stats Insider's St Kilda vs GWS best bets are based on complex modelling and gambling expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

More: AFL Brownlow Predictor

St Kilda vs GWS: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for St Kilda vs GWS at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Saturday has GWS winning 79-73.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

For more information, click or tap See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full coverage of St Kilda vs GWS on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live updates.

St Kilda vs GWS: Goal Kickers

Looking for St Kilda vs GWS goalscorer tips? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, GWS' Toby Greene is the most likely player to kick the first goal in St Kilda vs GWS.

Greene has a 10.5% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Giants star has a 93.3% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.

Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Kicker Tips

St Kilda

Max King: 7.9% probability
Tim Membrey: 5.2% probability
Jack Higgins: 5.0% probability
Jade Gresham: 4.3% probability
Dan Butler: 3.4% probability

GWS

Toby Greene: 10.5% probability
Jesse Hogan: 7.0% probability
Jake Riccardi: 4.4% probability
Brent Daniels: 4.0% probability
Callum Brown: 3.7% probability

Anytime Goal Kicker Tips

St Kilda

Max King: 89.2% probability
Tim Membrey: 74.7% probability
Jack Higgins: 72.1% probability
Jade Gresham: 66.5% probability
Dan Butler: 57.2% probability

GWS

Toby Greene: 93.3% probability
Jesse Hogan: 82.5% probability
Jake Riccardi: 67.6% probability
Brent Daniels: 67.1% probability
Callum Brown: 62.2% probability

Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the St Kilda vs GWS match at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: Brownlow Predictor 2023

St Kilda vs GWS: Preview

The AFL Finals clash between the Saints and Giants at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 3:20pm AEST on Saturday.

Teams: St Kilda vs GWS
Date: Saturday 9 September 2023
Time: 3:20pm AEST
Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.

Our predictions for St Kilda vs GWS have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on the AFL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, tips for every AFL game, and futures odds for the AFL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.