St Kilda vs Sydney Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 17, 2024
Last updated: Jul 7, 2024, 4:02AM | Published: Jun 30, 2024, 11:11PM
St Kilda will face the favoured Sydney in AFL Round 17 action at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 3:20pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the St Kilda vs Sydney game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: St Kilda vs Sydney
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's St Kilda-Sydney AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Swans a 78% chance of beating the Saints at Marvel Stadium.
St Kilda vs Sydney: Odds
The current betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: St Kilda $4.70, Sydney $1.26
- Line: St Kilda +26.5 ($1.98), Sydney -26.5 ($1.98)
- Total (Over/Under 165.5 Points): Over $1.75, Under $2.12
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change. Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has St Kilda at $4.70 and Sydney at $1.26.
The Saints are listed as 26.5-point underdogs against the Swans, with odds of $1.98 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Swans (-26.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.98.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 165.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $1.75 and odds for the under at $2.12.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Saints (+26.5) have a 57% chance of covering the line, while the over/under total of 165.5 points has a 51% chance of staying Under.
More: Predictions for Every AFL Game
St Kilda vs Sydney: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: St Kilda at $4.70 with Betfair (0.8% edge)
- Line: St Kilda +26.5 at $1.98 with Betfair (57% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 165.5 at $2.12 with Betfair (51% probability)
Any time you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best bets of the day across all sports.
Stats Insider's St Kilda vs Sydney best bets are based on world-class simulations and wagering expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Swans have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Saints to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
St Kilda vs Sydney: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for St Kilda vs Sydney at Marvel Stadium on Sunday has Sydney winning 92-71.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of St Kilda vs Sydney on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
St Kilda vs Sydney: Goal Scorers
Are you looking for St Kilda vs Sydney goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Sydney's Joel Amartey is the most likely player to kick the first goal in St Kilda vs Sydney.
Amartey has a 6.7% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Swans star has an 81.7% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
St Kilda
- Jack Higgins: 5.1% probability
- Tim Membrey: 3.9% probability
- Cooper Sharman: 3.5% probability
- Dan Butler: 3.3% probability
- Mitch Owens: 3.1% probability
Sydney
- Joel Amartey: 6.7% probability
- Tom Papley: 5.2% probability
- Logan McDonald: 4.8% probability
- Will Hayward: 4.7% probability
- Chad Warner: 4.5% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
St Kilda
- Jack Higgins: 76.0% probability
- Tim Membrey: 65.9% probability
- Dan Butler: 59.4% probability
- Cooper Sharman: 58.7% probability
- Mason Wood: 56.8% probability
Sydney
- Joel Amartey: 81.7% probability
- Tom Papley: 77.0% probability
- Logan McDonald: 72.7% probability
- Will Hayward: 70.4% probability
- Chad Warner: 69.6% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the St Kilda vs Sydney match at Marvel Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
St Kilda vs Sydney: Preview
The AFL Round 17 clash between the Saints and Swans at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:20pm AEST on Sunday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Our St Kilda vs Sydney predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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