St Kilda vs Western Bulldogs Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 6, 2024
Last updated: Apr 18, 2024, 8:01AM | Published: Apr 15, 2024, 10:01AM
St Kilda will take on the Western Bulldogs in AFL Round 6 action at Marvel Stadium on Thursday, starting at 7:30pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the St Kilda vs Western Bulldogs game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.
Who Will Win: St Kilda vs Western Bulldogs
Using detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's St Kilda-Western Bulldogs AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model is unable to split the two teams, giving both St Kilda and Bulldogs an equal 50% chance of winning in Round 6 of the AFL season.
More: St Kilda vs Western Bulldogs Match Centre
St Kilda vs Western Bulldogs: Odds
The latest betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: St Kilda $1.95, Bulldogs $2.04
- Line: St Kilda -2.5 ($2.12), Bulldogs +2.5 ($1.85)
- Total (Over/Under 157.5 Points): Over $1.96, Under $1.94
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has St Kilda at $1.95 and the Bulldogs at $2.04.
The Saints are listed as 2.5-point favourites against the Bulldogs, with odds of $2.12 currently on offer at TAB.
For the underdog Bulldogs (+2.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.85.
The Over/Under for St Kilda vs Western Bulldogs sits at 157.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.96 and odds for the Under at $1.94.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bulldogs (+2.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 157.5 points is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
More: Predictions for Every AFL Game
St Kilda vs Western Bulldogs: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Bulldogs at $2.04 with (50% probability)
- Line: St Kilda -2.5 at $2.12 with Betfair
- Total Points: Under 157.5 at $1.94 with Betfair (50% probability)
Today's St Kilda vs Western Bulldogs best bets are based on detailed modelling and betting intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although the Bulldogs are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Saints -2.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
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St Kilda vs Western Bulldogs: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted score for St Kilda vs Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium on Thursday is Bulldogs 78-78 Saints.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of St Kilda vs Western Bulldogs on Thursday, including pre-match predictions, free tips, and live scores.
St Kilda vs Bulldogs: Goal Kickers
Looking for St Kilda vs Bulldogs goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Western's Aaron Naughton is the most likely player to kick the first goal in St Kilda vs Western.
Naughton has a 7.2% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Bulldogs star has an 85.7% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
St Kilda
- Tim Membrey: 6.6% probability
- Jack Higgins: 6.6% probability
- Anthony Caminiti: 4.4% probability
- Dan Butler: 4.0% probability
- Cooper Sharman: 3.6% probability
Western Bulldogs
- Aaron Naughton: 7.2% probability
- Cody Weightman: 6.0% probability
- Rory Lobb: 5.3% probability
- Marcus Bontempelli: 3.9% probability
- Sam Darcy: 2.7% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
St Kilda
- Tim Membrey: 85.1% probability
- Jack Higgins: 82.9% probability
- Anthony Caminiti: 69.9% probability
- Dan Butler: 66.1% probability
- Darcy Wilson: 62.1% probability
Western Bulldogs
- Aaron Naughton: 85.7% probability
- Cody Weightman: 79.3% probability
- Rory Lobb: 78.6% probability
- Marcus Bontempelli: 66.5% probability
- Harvey Gallagher: 51.7% probability
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the St Kilda vs Bulldogs match at Marvel Stadium.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
St Kilda vs Western Bulldogs: Preview
The AFL Round 6 clash between the Saints and Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: St Kilda vs Western Bulldogs
- Date: Thursday 18 April 2024
- Time: 7:30pm AEST
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our St Kilda vs Bulldogs predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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