Steelers vs Bengals Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 16, 2023

Last updated: Dec 23, 2023, 9:31PM | Published: Dec 19, 2023, 6:07AM

The Pittsburgh Steelers will face the Cincinnati Bengals in NFL Week 16 action at Acrisure Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 8:30am AEDT.

Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Steelers vs Bengals game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed below.

Who Will Win: Steelers vs Bengals

Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Pittsburgh-Cincinnati NFL match-up 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Bengals a 65% chance of beating the Steelers at Acrisure Stadium.

More: Steelers vs Bengals Match Centre

Steelers vs Bengals: Odds

The latest Betfair betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NFL game at Acrisure Stadium are shown below:

Head to Head: Steelers $2.40, Bengals $1.70
Line: Steelers +3 ($1.87), Bengals -3 ($2.08)
Total (Over/Under 39.5 Points): Over $2.00, Under $1.93

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Steelers at $2.40 and the Bengals at $1.70.

The Steelers are listed as 3-point underdogs against the Bengals, with odds of $1.87 currently on offer at Betfair.

For the favourite Bengals (-3) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.08.

The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 39.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.00 and odds for the Under at $1.93.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Bengals (-3) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 39.5 points has a 51% chance of staying Under.

The best site to place a bet on the Steelers vs Bengals game is Betfair, where you are able to bet against other sports fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.

More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds

Steelers vs Bengals: Best Bets

Head to Head: Cincinnati at $1.70 with Betfair (65% probability) 🔥
Line: Bengals -3 at $2.08 with Betfair (51% probability)
Total Points: Over 39.5 at $2.00 with Betfair

If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across any sport.

Today's Steelers vs Bengals best bets are based on world-class modelling and gambling expertise to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7.

Despite the Under being more likely to hit in this game, Over 39.5 is our best bet because of the better odds ($2.00) that are available from Betfair.

What could be better than using one of the world's best predictive analytics models to bet on the NFL? Now, you can use this helpful information to give you an edge when betting on something not to happen.

Before you begin, explore our comprehensive guide to lay betting on Betfair in Australia for expert tips and insights.

Steelers vs Bengals: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Steelers vs Bengals at Acrisure Stadium in Week 16 has the Bengals winning 21-17.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati in Week 16, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Steelers vs Bengals: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score the first touchdown in Steelers vs Bengals? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Cincinnati's Joe Mixon is the most likely player to score the first TD in Steelers vs Bengals.

Mixon has an 11.7% chance of scoring the first TD at Acrisure Stadium, while the Bengals RB has a 42.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Steelers First TD Tips

Najee Harris: 9.4% probability
Jaylen Warren: 9.0% probability
George Pickens: 8.0% probability
Diontae Johnson: 6.3% probability
Pat Freiermuth: 5.6% probability

Bengals First TD Tips

Joe Mixon: 11.7% probability
Tee Higgins: 8.7% probability
Tyler Boyd: 6.6% probability
Tanner Hudson: 5.9% probability
Chase Brown: 5.8% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Steelers Anytime TD Tips

Najee Harris: 37.1% probability
Jaylen Warren: 34.1% probability
George Pickens: 30.3% probability
Diontae Johnson: 25.4% probability
Pat Freiermuth: 22.5% probability

Bengals Anytime TD Tips

Joe Mixon: 42.0% probability
Tee Higgins: 33.9% probability
Tyler Boyd: 25.5% probability
Tanner Hudson: 23.0% probability
Chase Brown: 22.9% probability

Steelers-Bengals Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Steelers' Mason Rudolph is projected to have a quiet game with 169 passing yards, while the Bengals' Jake Browning is expected to throw for 192 yards.

Steelers Starting QB

Mason Rudolph: 169 projected passing yards

Bengals Starting QB

Jake Browning: 192 projected passing yards

Steelers Rushing Yards

Najee Harris: 56 projected yards
Jaylen Warren: 46 projected yards
Mason Rudolph: 9 projected yards

Bengals Rushing Yards

Joe Mixon: 60 projected yards
Chase Brown: 32 projected yards
Jake Browning: 14 projected yards

Steelers Receiving Yards

Diontae Johnson: 48 projected yards
George Pickens: 41 projected yards
Pat Freiermuth: 35 projected yards
Jaylen Warren: 26 projected yards
Allen Robinson: 11 projected yards

Bengals Receiving Yards

Tee Higgins: 71 projected yards
Tyler Boyd: 53 projected yards
Tanner Hudson: 40 projected yards
Andrei Iosivas: 18 projected yards
Joe Mixon: 17 projected yards

Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati match-up at Acrisure Stadium.

As always, check out our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Steelers vs Bengals: Week 16 Preview

The NFL Week 16 match-up between the Steelers and Bengals at Acrisure Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:30am AEDT on Sunday.

Teams: Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals
Date: Sunday 24 December 2023
Time: 8:30am AEDT
Venue: Acrisure Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.

Our Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.