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Steelers vs Browns Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 14, 2024

The Pittsburgh Steelers will take on the Cleveland Browns in NFL Week 14 action at Acrisure Stadium on Monday, starting at 5:00am AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Steelers vs Browns game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Pittsburgh vs Cleveland NFL match-up 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Steelers a 71% chance of winning against the Browns at Acrisure Stadium.

Steelers vs Browns: Odds

The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Acrisure Stadium are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Steelers $1.34, Browns $3.35
  • Line: Steelers -6 ($1.91), Browns +6 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Steelers at $1.34 and the Browns at $3.35.

The Steelers are 6-point favourites against the Browns, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Browns (+6) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 42.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the bookies have got it right and both the Steelers and the Browns have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The 42.5-point over/under is expected to go over 52% of the time.

Steelers vs Browns: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Cleveland at $3.35 with Bet365
  • Line: Browns +6 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Over 42.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

 
These Steelers vs Browns predictions are based on market-leading modelling and wagering experience to bring you the best possible advice every time.

While the Steelers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Browns to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a punter.

Steelers vs Browns: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Steelers vs Browns at Acrisure Stadium in Week 14 is the Steelers winning 24-18.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Pittsburgh vs Cleveland game in Week 14, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Steelers vs Browns prediction.

Steelers vs Browns: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Steelers vs Browns? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Pittsburgh's Najee Harris is the most likely player to score the first TD in Steelers vs Browns.

Harris has an 11.1% chance of scoring the first TD at Acrisure Stadium, while the Steelers RB has a 44.5% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Steelers First TD Tips

  • Najee Harris: 11.1% probability
  • Jaylen Warren: 9.5% probability
  • George Pickens: 8.8% probability
  • Russell Wilson: 5.7% probability
  • Calvin Austin: 4.4% probability

Browns First TD Tips

  • Nick Chubb: 10.6% probability
  • Jerry Jeudy: 7.7% probability
  • David Njoku: 6.6% probability
  • Elijah Moore: 5.0% probability
  • Jerome Ford: 3.7% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Steelers Anytime TD Tips

  • Najee Harris: 44.5% probability
  • Jaylen Warren: 39.0% probability
  • George Pickens: 37.4% probability
  • Russell Wilson: 25.4% probability
  • Pat Freiermuth: 19.4% probability

Browns Anytime TD Tips

  • Nick Chubb: 42.3% probability
  • Jerry Jeudy: 32.8% probability
  • David Njoku: 28.7% probability
  • Elijah Moore: 23.7% probability
  • Jerome Ford: 17.4% probability

Steelers-Browns Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Steelers' Russell Wilson is projected for 209 passing yards. The Browns' Jameis Winston is expected to throw for 243 yards.

Steelers Starting QB

  • Russell Wilson: 209 projected passing yards

Browns Starting QB

  • Jameis Winston: 243 projected passing yards

Steelers Rushing Yards

  • Najee Harris: 60 projected yards
  • Jaylen Warren: 46 projected yards
  • Russell Wilson: 15 projected yards

Browns Rushing Yards

  • Nick Chubb: 67 projected yards
  • Jerome Ford: 17 projected yards
  • Jameis Winston: 11 projected yards

Steelers Receiving Yards

  • George Pickens: 58 projected yards
  • Calvin Austin: 32 projected yards
  • Pat Freiermuth: 31 projected yards
  • Van Jefferson: 21 projected yards
  • Jaylen Warren: 18 projected yards

Browns Receiving Yards

  • Jerry Jeudy: 70 projected yards
  • David Njoku: 48 projected yards
  • Elijah Moore: 39 projected yards
  • Jordan Akins: 23 projected yards
  • Michael Woods: 22 projected yards

Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Pittsburgh vs Cleveland game.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Steelers vs Browns: Week 14 Essential Details

The NFL Week 14 match-up between the Steelers and Browns at Acrisure Stadium is scheduled to commence at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Pittsburgh vs Cleveland predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NFL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, tips for every NFL game, and Super Bowl probabilities for the NFL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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