Storm vs Broncos Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 5, 2024
Last updated: Apr 4, 2024, 8:47AM | Published: Apr 1, 2024, 9:55PM
The Storm will face the Broncos in NRL Round 5 action at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium on Thursday, starting at 8:00pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Storm vs Broncos game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Storm vs Broncos
Based on detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Melbourne-Brisbane NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Storm a 71% chance of defeating the Broncos at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium.
More: Storm vs Broncos Simulated 10,000 Times
Storm vs Broncos: Odds
The latest betting odds for Thursday's NRL clash at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Storm $1.44, Broncos $2.80
- Line: Storm -7.5 ($1.90), Broncos +7.5 ($1.90)
- Total (Over/Under 41.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $1.90
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Storm at $1.44 and the Broncos at $2.80.
The Storm are listed as 7.5-point favourites against the Broncos, with odds of $1.90 currently on offer at TAB.
For the underdog Broncos (+7.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.90.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 41.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.90 and odds for the Under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Storm (-7.5) have a 54% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 41.5 points has a 52% chance of going Over.
More: Predictions for Every NRL Game
Storm vs Broncos: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Storm at $1.44 (71% probability)
- Line: Storm -7.5 at $1.90 (54% probability)
- Total Points: Over 41.5 at $1.90 (52% probability)
Stats Insider's Storm vs Broncos betting tips are based on world-class simulations and wagering experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
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Storm vs Broncos: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Storm vs Broncos at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium this Thursday has the Storm winning 25-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Storm vs Broncos on Thursday, including pre-match predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Storm vs Broncos: Try Scorers
Looking for Storm vs Broncos try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Ryan Papenhuyzen is the most likely player to score the first try in Melbourne vs Brisbane.
Papenhuyzen has a 10.8% chance of scoring the first try at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium, while the Storm star has a 50.0% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Ryan Papenhuyzen: 10.8% probability
- Xavier Coates: 9.1% probability
- Will Warbrick: 7.4% probability
- Nick Meaney: 4.8% probability
- Cameron Munster: 4.4% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Deine Mariner: 6.6% probability
- Jesse Arthars: 5.6% probability
- Ezra Mam: 5.2% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 4.8% probability
- Selwyn Cobbo: 3.0% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Ryan Papenhuyzen: 50.0% probability
- Xavier Coates: 44.6% probability
- Will Warbrick: 39.2% probability
- Nick Meaney: 26.9% probability
- Cameron Munster: 25.9% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Deine Mariner: 36.1% probability
- Jesse Arthars: 30.5% probability
- Ezra Mam: 29.5% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 26.9% probability
- Tristan Sailor: 19.0% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Storm vs Broncos match at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every NRL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2024
Storm vs Broncos: Preview
The NRL Round 5 clash between the Storm and Broncos at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:00pm AEDT on Thursday.
- Teams: Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos
- Date: Thursday 4 April 2024
- Kick-off: 8:00pm AEDT
- Location: Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our Storm vs Broncos predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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