Storm vs Dragons Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 22, 2024
Last updated: Aug 3, 2024, 6:44AM | Published: Jul 28, 2024, 11:16PM
The Storm will sqaure off with the Dragons in NRL Round 22 action at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 5:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Storm vs Dragons game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Melbourne vs St George Illawarra NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Storm an 83% chance of beating the Dragons in Round 22 of the 2024 NRL season.
Storm vs Dragons: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Storm $1.11, Dragons $6.50
- Line: Storm -19.5 ($1.85), Dragons +19.5 ($1.95)
- Total (Over/Under 52.5 Points): Over $1.95, Under $1.85
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Storm at $1.11 and the Dragons at $6.50.
The Storm are listed as 19.5-point favourites against the Dragons, with odds of $1.85 available at TAB.
For the underdog Dragons (+19.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.95.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 52.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.95 for the over and $1.85 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Dragons (+19.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 52.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 58% of the time.
Storm vs Dragons: Best Bets
- Head to Head: St George at $6.50 (1.7% edge)
- Line: Dragons +19.5 at $1.95 (57% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 52.5 at $1.85 (58% probability)
If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best bets for today across any sport.
Our Storm vs Dragons betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Storm have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dragons to win is our preferred option due to the 1.7% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
Storm vs Dragons: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Storm vs Dragons at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium on Saturday is the Storm winning 30-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Storm vs St George match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
Storm vs Dragons: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Storm vs Dragons try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Ryan Papenhuyzen is the most likely player to score the first try in Melbourne vs St George Illawarra.
Papenhuyzen has a 12.2% chance of scoring the first try at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium, while the Storm star has a 64.8% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Ryan Papenhuyzen: 12.2% probability
- Grant Anderson: 7.8% probability
- Will Warbrick: 7.7% probability
- Eliesa Katoa: 5.6% probability
- Jack Howarth: 5.2% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Zac Lomax: 5.1% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 4.7% probability
- Christian Tuipulotu: 4.6% probability
- Ben Hunt: 2.5% probability
- Jaydn Su'A: 2.4% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Ryan Papenhuyzen: 64.8% probability
- Will Warbrick: 51.8% probability
- Grant Anderson: 47.6% probability
- Nick Meaney: 36.9% probability
- Eliesa Katoa: 36.5% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Zac Lomax: 35.4% probability
- Christian Tuipulotu: 33.4% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 33.2% probability
- Jaydn Su'A: 20.0% probability
- Ben Hunt: 19.5% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Storm vs Dragons game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Storm vs Dragons: Essential Details
The NRL Round 22 clash between the Storm and Dragons at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium is scheduled to commence at 5:30pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Melbourne Storm vs St George Illawarra Dragons
- Date: Saturday 3 August 2024
- Kick-off: 5:30pm AEST
- Location: Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Our Storm vs St George predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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