Storm vs Eels Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 22, 2023
Last updated: Jul 28, 2023, 10:00AM | Published: Jul 23, 2023, 10:50PM
The Storm play the Eels in NRL Round 22 action at Marvel Stadium on Friday, starting at 8:00pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Storm vs Eels, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are featured in this article.
More: NRL Tips for This Weekend - Round 22, 2023
Who Will Win: Storm vs Eels
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Melbourne-Parramatta NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Storm a 63% chance of beating the Eels at Marvel Stadium.
More: Storm vs Eels Match Centre
Storm vs Eels: Odds
The latest betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Storm $1.40, Eels $2.95
- Line: Storm -6.5 ($1.90), Eels +6.5 ($1.90)
- Total (Over/Under 43.5 Points): Over $1.85, Under $1.95
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Storm at $1.40 and the Eels at $2.95.
The Storm are 6.5-point favourites against the Eels, with odds of $1.90 currently available at PointsBet.
For the underdog Eels (+6.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.90.
The Over/Under for Storm vs Eels has been set at 43.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.85 and odds for the Under at $1.95.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Eels (+6.5) have a 54% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 43.5 points has a 52% chance of going Over.
Looking for the best way to bet on this Storm vs Eels game? Join PointsBet now and check out the world's most exciting sports betting format, Spread Betting.
More: Predictions for Every NRL Match
Storm vs Eels: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Eels at $2.95 with PointsBet (2.8% edge)
- Line: Eels +6.5 at $1.90 with PointsBet (54% probability)
- Total Points: Over 43.5 at $1.85 with PointsBet (52% probability)
Today's Storm vs Eels betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and betting intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
We recommend betting on this Storm vs Eels match at PointsBet, where you can use our cutting-edge predictions to bet on more NRL markets than any other bookmaker in the world. Create a PointsBet account now!
While the Storm have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Eels to win is our preferred option due to the 2.8% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
Storm vs Eels: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Storm vs Eels at Marvel Stadium on Friday has the Storm winning 24-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Storm vs Eels on Friday, including pre-match predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Storm vs Eels: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Storm vs Eels try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Xavier Coates is the most likely player to score the first try in Melbourne vs Parramatta.
Coates has a 10.2% chance of scoring the first try at Marvel Stadium, while the Storm star has a 51.4% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities. We recommend using these probabilities to find a suitable bet on PointsBet, where you can enjoy betting on every single game this week.
First Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Xavier Coates: 10.2% probability
- Will Warbrick: 7.6% probability
- Nick Meaney: 6.5% probability
- Young Tonumaipea: 5.7% probability
- Jahrome Hughes: 5.1% probability
Parramatta Eels
- Clinton Gutherson: 5.9% probability
- Sean Russell: 5.7% probability
- Waqa Blake: 5.4% probability
- Bailey Simonsson: 4.6% probability
- Will Penisini: 4.1% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Xavier Coates: 51.4% probability
- Will Warbrick: 42.5% probability
- Nick Meaney: 38.2% probability
- Young Tonumaipea: 33.6% probability
- Cameron Munster: 31.1% probability
Parramatta Eels
- Clinton Gutherson: 35.6% probability
- Sean Russell: 35.6% probability
- Waqa Blake: 33.8% probability
- Bailey Simonsson: 28.6% probability
- Will Penisini: 25.5% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Storm vs Eels match at Marvel Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every NRL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL True Kicker Ratings 2023
Storm vs Eels: Preview
The NRL Round 22 clash between the Storm and Eels at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:00pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Melbourne Storm vs Parramatta Eels
- Date: Friday 28 July 2023
- Kick-off: 8:00pm AEST
- Location: Marvel Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Storm vs Eels are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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