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Storm vs Knights Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 14, 2024

The Storm will play the Knights in NRL Round 14 action at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium on Sunday, starting at 2:00pm AEST.

Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Storm vs Knights game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed below.

Who Will Win: Storm vs Knights

Based on detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Melbourne-Newcastle NRL match 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Storm a 77% chance of defeating the Knights at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium.

More: Storm vs Knights Simulated 10,000 Times

Storm vs Knights: Odds

The current betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Storm $1.24, Knights $4.10
  • Line: Storm -12.5 ($1.90), Knights +12.5 ($1.90)
  • Total (Over/Under 48.5 Points): Over $1.95, Under $1.85

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Storm at $1.24 and the Knights at $4.10.

The Storm are listed as 12.5-point favourites against the Knights, with odds of $1.90 currently available at TAB.

For the underdog Knights (+12.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.90.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 48.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $1.95 and odds for the under at $1.85.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Knights (+12.5) have a 54% chance of covering the line, while the 48.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying Under.

More: NRL Premiership 2024 Probabilities and Odds

Storm vs Knights: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Knights at $4.10
  • Line: Knights +12.5 at $1.90 (54% probability)
  • Total Points: Under 48.5 at $1.85 (52% probability)

Today's Storm vs Knights betting tips are based on world-class modelling and wagering experience to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.

While the Storm have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Knights to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.

Storm vs Knights: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Storm vs Knights at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium on Sunday has the Storm winning 29-18.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Storm vs Knights on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.

Storm vs Knights: Try Scorers

Searching for Storm vs Knights try scorers? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Xavier Coates is the most likely player to score the first try in Melbourne vs Newcastle.

Coates has a 10.7% chance of scoring the first try at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium, while the Storm star has a 58.6% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.

Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.

First Try Scorer Tips

Melbourne Storm

  • Xavier Coates: 10.7% probability
  • Grant Anderson: 7.1% probability
  • Eliesa Katoa: 5.5% probability
  • Jahrome Hughes: 5.3% probability
  • Harry Grant: 4.9% probability

Newcastle Knights

  • Greg Marzhew: 7.0% probability
  • Enari Tuala: 6.1% probability
  • Fletcher Sharpe: 3.4% probability
  • Krystian Mapapalangi: 3.0% probability
  • Jackson Hastings: 2.7% probability

Anytime Try Scorer Tips

Melbourne Storm

  • Xavier Coates: 58.6% probability
  • Grant Anderson: 43.9% probability
  • Eliesa Katoa: 36.7% probability
  • Jahrome Hughes: 35.2% probability
  • Reimis Smith: 33.1% probability

Newcastle Knights

  • Greg Marzhew: 41.8% probability
  • Enari Tuala: 38.1% probability
  • Fletcher Sharpe: 25.5% probability
  • Krystian Mapapalangi: 23.6% probability
  • Dane Gagai: 20.2% probability

Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Storm vs Knights match at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium.

As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NRL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2024

Storm vs Knights: Preview

The NRL Round 14 clash between the Storm and Knights at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium is scheduled to begin at 2:00pm AEST on Sunday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Our Storm vs Knights predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our NRL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

If you purchase a product or register for an account through one of the links on our site, we may receive compensation.

More on the NRL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NRL, with the latest NRL betting news, tips for every NRL game, and futures odds for the NRL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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