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Storm vs Roosters Prediction and Odds - NRL Round 6, 2023

The Storm face the Roosters in NRL Round 6 action at AAMI Park on Thursday, starting at 7:50pm AEST.

Stats Insider's free betting tips for Storm vs Roosters, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed in this article.

Who will win? Storm vs Roosters

Using detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Thursday's Melbourne-Sydney NRL match-up 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Storm a 56% chance of beating the Roosters at AAMI Park.

More: Free Betting Analysis for Storm vs Roosters

Storm vs Roosters Betting Odds

The current betting odds for Thursday's NRL clash at AAMI Park are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Storm $1.67, Roosters $2.20
  • Line: Storm -2.5 ($1.90), Roosters +2.5 ($1.90)
  • Total (Over/Under 39.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $1.90

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Storm to win at $1.67 and the Roosters to win at $2.20.

The Storm are 2.5-point favourites against the Roosters, with odds of $1.90 currently on offer at TAB.

For the underdog Roosters (+2.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.90.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 39.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.90 and odds for the Under at $1.90.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Roosters (+2.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the 39.5-point Over/Under has a 52% chance of going Over.

More: Best Bets for Every NRL Match

Storm vs Roosters Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Roosters at $2.20 with TAB
  • Line: Roosters +2.5 at $1.90 with TAB (56% probability)
  • Total Points: Over 39.5 at $1.90 with TAB (52% probability)

Stats Insider's Storm vs Roosters predictions are based on complex modelling and betting experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Storm have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Roosters to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.

Storm vs Roosters NRL Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Storm vs Roosters at AAMI Park this Thursday has the Storm winning 21-19.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

For more information, click or tap See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Storm vs Roosters on Thursday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.

Storm vs Roosters Try Scorers

Looking for Storm vs Roosters try scorers? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Xavier Coates is the most likely player to score the first try in Melbourne vs Sydney.

Coates has a 8.4% chance of scoring the first try at AAMI Park, while the Storm star has a 42.0% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.

Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.

First Try Scorer Tips

Melbourne Storm

  • Xavier Coates: 8.4% probability
  • Will Warbrick: 6.0% probability
  • Nick Meaney: 5.9% probability
  • Justin Olam: 5.2% probability
  • Jahrome Hughes: 4.8% probability

Sydney Roosters

  • Daniel Tupou: 8.4% probability
  • Jaxson Paulo: 7.0% probability
  • Joseph Manu: 4.5% probability
  • Drew Hutchison: 4.2% probability
  • Joseph-Aukuso Suaalii: 3.8% probability

Anytime Try Scorer Tips

Melbourne Storm

  • Xavier Coates: 42.0% probability
  • Will Warbrick: 32.3% probability
  • Nick Meaney: 31.1% probability
  • Jahrome Hughes: 28.5% probability
  • Justin Olam: 28.2% probability

Sydney Roosters

  • Daniel Tupou: 39.9% probability
  • Jaxson Paulo: 36.3% probability
  • Joseph Manu: 27.2% probability
  • Drew Hutchison: 23.8% probability
  • Joseph-Aukuso Suaalii: 21.3% probability

Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Storm vs Roosters game at AAMI Park.

As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every NRL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2023

Storm vs Roosters NRL 2023

The NRL Round 6 clash between the Storm and Roosters at AAMI Park is scheduled to start at 7:50pm AEST on Thursday.

  • Game: Melbourne Storm vs Sydney Roosters
  • Date: Thursday 6 April 2023
  • Kick-off: 7:50pm AEST
  • Location: AAMI Park

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.

More About NRL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NRL, with the latest NRL betting news, tips for every NRL game, and futures probabilities for the NRL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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