Storm vs Roosters Prediction and Tips - NRL Semi-Final 2023
Last updated: Sep 15, 2023, 9:45AM | Published: Sep 10, 2023, 4:40PM
The Storm play the Roosters in NRL Semi-Final action at AAMI Park on Friday, starting at 7:50pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Storm vs Roosters, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Storm vs Roosters
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Melbourne-Sydney NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Storm a 64% chance of beating the Roosters in their NRL semi-final clash.
More: Storm vs Roosters Match Centre
Storm vs Roosters: Odds
The latest betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at AAMI Park are shown below:
- Head to Head: Storm $1.37, Roosters $3.15
- Line: Storm -7.5 ($1.85), Roosters +7.5 ($1.95)
- Total (Over/Under 39.5 Points): Over $1.80, Under $2.00
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Storm at $1.37 and the Roosters at $3.15.
The Storm are 7.5-point favourites against the Roosters, with odds of $1.85 currently on offer at PointsBet.
For the underdog Roosters (+7.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.95.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 39.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.80 and odds for the Under at $2.00.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Roosters (+7.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 39.5 points has a 56% chance of going Over.
Looking for the best way to bet on this Storm vs Roosters game? Join PointsBet now and check out its comprehensive range of betting markets.
More: NRL Fixture Difficulty 2023
Storm vs Roosters: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Roosters at $3.15 with PointsBet (3.2% edge)
- Line: Roosters +7.5 at $1.95 with PointsBet (56% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Over 39.5 at $1.80 with PointsBet (56% probability)
If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best bets for today across all sports.
These Storm vs Roosters best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering expertise to give you the best possible advice every time.
We recommend betting on this Storm vs Roosters match at PointsBet, where you can use our cutting-edge predictions to bet on more NRL markets than any other bookmaker in the world. Create your PointsBet account now!
While the Storm have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Roosters to win is our recommended option due to the 3.2% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
Storm vs Roosters: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Storm vs Roosters at AAMI Park on Friday has the Storm winning 23-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Storm vs Roosters on Friday, including pre-match predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Storm vs Roosters: Try Scorers
Searching for Storm vs Roosters try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Reimis Smith is the most likely player to score the first try in Melbourne vs Sydney.
Smith has a 9.1% chance of scoring the first try at AAMI Park, while the Storm star has a 44.6% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities. We recommend using these probabilities to find a suitable bet on PointsBet, where you can enjoy betting on every single game this week.
First Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Reimis Smith: 9.1% probability
- Will Warbrick: 8.7% probability
- Nick Meaney: 5.6% probability
- Justin Olam: 5.5% probability
- Cameron Munster: 5.1% probability
Sydney Roosters
- James Tedesco: 5.7% probability
- Jaxson Paulo: 5.6% probability
- Fetalaiga Pauga: 5.2% probability
- Paul Momirovski: 3.3% probability
- Corey Allan: 3.2% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Reimis Smith: 44.6% probability
- Will Warbrick: 43.1% probability
- Nick Meaney: 32.6% probability
- Justin Olam: 30.4% probability
- Cameron Munster: 28.7% probability
Sydney Roosters
- Jaxson Paulo: 31.1% probability
- James Tedesco: 31.0% probability
- Fetalaiga Pauga: 29.5% probability
- Paul Momirovski: 21.5% probability
- Sam Walker: 19.9% probability
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Storm vs Roosters game at AAMI Park.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NRL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL True Kicker Ratings 2023
Storm vs Roosters: Preview
The NRL Semi-Final clash between the Storm and Roosters at AAMI Park is scheduled to begin at 7:50pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Melbourne Storm vs Sydney Roosters
- Date: Friday 15 September 2023
- Kick-off: 7:50pm AEST
- Location: AAMI Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Storm vs Roosters have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
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