Storm vs Roosters Prediction and Tips - NRL Semi-Final 2023
Sep 12, 2023, 7:10AM
The Storm square off with the Roosters in NRL Semi-Final action at AAMI Park on Friday, beginning at 7:50pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Storm vs Roosters, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Storm vs Roosters
Using detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Melbourne-Sydney NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Storm a 71% chance of beating the Roosters at AAMI Park.
More: Storm vs Roosters Match Centre
Storm vs Roosters: Odds
The latest betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at AAMI Park are shown here:
- Head to Head: Storm $1.27, Roosters $3.80
- Line: Storm -11.5 ($1.90), Roosters +11.5 ($1.90)
- Total (Over/Under 40.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $1.90
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Storm at $1.27 and the Roosters at $3.80.
The Storm are 11.5-point favourites against the Roosters, with odds of $1.90 currently available at PointsBet.
For the underdog Roosters (+11.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.90.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 40.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.90 and odds for the Under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Roosters (+11.5) have a 54% chance of covering the line, while the 40.5-point Over/Under has a 54% chance of going Over.
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More: NRL Fixture Difficulty 2023
Storm vs Roosters: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Roosters at $3.80 with PointsBet (2.4% edge)
- Line: Roosters +11.5 at $1.90 with PointsBet (54% probability)
- Total Points: Over 40.5 at $1.90 with PointsBet (54% probability)
These Storm vs Roosters best bets are based on detailed modelling and wagering expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
We highly recommend betting on this Storm vs Roosters match at PointsBet, where you can use our cutting-edge predictions to bet on the NRL and more. Create a PointsBet account now!
While the Storm have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Roosters to win is our preferred option due to the 2.4% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a punter.
Storm vs Roosters: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Storm vs Roosters at AAMI Park on Friday has the Storm winning 24-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Storm vs Roosters on Friday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Storm vs Roosters: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Storm vs Roosters try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Reimis Smith is the most likely player to score the first try in Melbourne vs Sydney.
Smith has a 9.2% chance of scoring the first try at AAMI Park, while the Storm star has a 47.2% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities. We recommend using these probabilities to find a suitable bet on PointsBet, where you can enjoy betting on every single game this week.
First Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Reimis Smith: 9.2% probability
- Will Warbrick: 8.9% probability
- Nick Meaney: 6.0% probability
- Justin Olam: 5.9% probability
- Jahrome Hughes: 5.2% probability
Sydney Roosters
- James Tedesco: 5.2% probability
- Jaxson Paulo: 5.0% probability
- Fetalaiga Pauga: 4.4% probability
- Paul Momirovski: 3.1% probability
- Corey Allan: 2.8% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Reimis Smith: 47.2% probability
- Will Warbrick: 45.2% probability
- Nick Meaney: 34.3% probability
- Justin Olam: 32.2% probability
- Jahrome Hughes: 30.2% probability
Sydney Roosters
- James Tedesco: 29.4% probability
- Jaxson Paulo: 28.2% probability
- Fetalaiga Pauga: 26.8% probability
- Paul Momirovski: 20.1% probability
- Sam Walker: 18.9% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Storm vs Roosters game at AAMI Park.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every NRL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2023
Storm vs Roosters: Preview
The NRL Semi-Final clash between the Storm and Roosters at AAMI Park is scheduled to begin at 7:50pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Melbourne Storm vs Sydney Roosters
- Date: Friday 15 September 2023
- Kick-off: 7:50pm AEST
- Location: AAMI Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Storm vs Roosters are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
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