Storm vs Tigers Prediction and Odds - NRL Round 4, 2023
Mar 20, 2023, 12:15AM
The Storm play the Tigers in NRL Round 4 action at AAMI Park on Friday, beginning at 6:00pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Storm vs Tigers, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who will win? Storm vs Tigers
Using state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Melbourne-Wests NRL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Storm a 70% chance of beating the Tigers in Round 4 of the 2023 NRL season.
More: Storm vs Tigers Simulated 10K Times
Storm vs Tigers Odds
The latest betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at AAMI Park are shown here:
- Head to Head: Storm $1.29, Tigers $3.60
- Line: Storm -10.5 ($1.95), Tigers +10.5 ($1.85)
- Total (Over/Under 43.5 Points): Over $1.80, Under $2.00
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Storm to win at $1.29 and the Tigers to win at $3.60.
The Storm are 10.5-point favourites against the Tigers, with odds of $1.95 currently on offer at TAB.
For the underdog Tigers (+10.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.85.
The Over/Under for Storm vs Tigers is set at 43.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.80 and odds for the Under at $2.00.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Tigers (+10.5) have a 58% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 43.5 points has a 53% chance of going Over.
More: Best Bets Today for All Sports
Storm vs Tigers NRL Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Tigers at $3.60 with TAB (2.6% edge)
- Line: Tigers +10.5 at $1.85 with TAB (58% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 43.5 at $2.00 with TAB
Every time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across any sport.
Today's Storm vs Tigers best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Storm have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Tigers to win is our preferred option because of the 2.6% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the TAB odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 43.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($2.00) that are available from TAB.
Storm vs Tigers Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Storm vs Tigers at AAMI Park this Friday has the Storm prevailing 26-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Storm vs Tigers on Friday, including pre-match predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Storm vs Tigers Try Scorers
Looking for Storm vs Tigers try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Xavier Coates is the most likely player to score the first try in Melbourne vs Wests.
Coates has a 10.5% chance of scoring the first try at AAMI Park, while the Storm star has a 54.1% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Xavier Coates: 10.5% probability
- Will Warbrick: 7.6% probability
- Nick Meaney: 7.0% probability
- Justin Olam: 6.0% probability
- Cameron Munster: 4.4% probability
Wests Tigers
- Junior Tupou: 5.8% probability
- Charlie Staines: 4.8% probability
- Brent Naden: 4.6% probability
- Asu Kepaoa: 3.7% probability
- Isaiah Papali'i: 3.2% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Xavier Coates: 54.1% probability
- Will Warbrick: 42.4% probability
- Nick Meaney: 40.4% probability
- Justin Olam: 35.0% probability
- Cameron Munster: 28.1% probability
Wests Tigers
- Junior Tupou: 33.9% probability
- Charlie Staines: 30.4% probability
- Brent Naden: 28.2% probability
- Asu Kepaoa: 25.1% probability
- Isaiah Papali'i: 20.3% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Storm vs Tigers game at AAMI Park.
As always, check out our Best Bets for the best tips for every NRL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: NRL Try Location Analysis 2023
Storm vs Tigers NRL 2023
The NRL Round 4 clash between the Storm and Tigers at AAMI Park is scheduled to commence at 6:00pm AEDT on Friday.
- Game: Melbourne Storm vs Wests Tigers
- Date: Friday 24 March 2023
- Kick-off: 6:00pm AEDT
- Location: AAMI Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
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