Storm vs Warriors Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 6, 2025
Apr 6, 2025, 11:50PM
The Storm will sqaure off with the Warriors in NRL Round 6 action at AAMI Park on Sunday, starting at 2:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Storm vs Warriors game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Melbourne vs New Zealand NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Storm an 81% chance of beating the Warriors at AAMI Park.
Storm vs Warriors: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at AAMI Park are shown here:
- Head to Head: Storm $1.16, Warriors $5.50
- Line: Storm -16.5 ($1.91), Warriors +16.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 52.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Storm at $1.16 and the Warriors at $5.50.
The Storm are 16.5-point favourites against the Warriors, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Warriors (+16.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 52.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Warriors (+16.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 52.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 60% of the time.
Storm vs Warriors: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Warriors at $5.50 with Bet365
- Line: Warriors +16.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 52.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best tips of the day across any sport.
Our Storm vs Warriors betting tips are based on detailed modelling and wagering expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Storm have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Warriors to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
Storm vs Warriors: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Storm vs Warriors at AAMI Park this Sunday is the Storm winning 30-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Storm vs Warriors match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Storm vs Warriors: Try Scorers
Searching for Storm vs Warriors try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Ryan Papenhuyzen is the most likely player to score the first try in Melbourne vs New Zealand.
Papenhuyzen has a 9.9% chance of scoring the first try at AAMI Park, while the Storm star has a 59.8% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Ryan Papenhuyzen: 9.9% probability
- Xavier Coates: 8.6% probability
- Grant Anderson: 8.1% probability
- Harry Grant: 5.2% probability
- Jahrome Hughes: 5.1% probability
New Zealand Warriors
- Adam Pompey: 5.3% probability
- Taine Tuaupiki: 4.5% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 3.9% probability
- Luke Metcalf: 3.4% probability
- Rocco Berry: 2.6% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Melbourne Storm
- Ryan Papenhuyzen: 59.8% probability
- Xavier Coates: 55.0% probability
- Grant Anderson: 53.5% probability
- Jahrome Hughes: 39.5% probability
- Harry Grant: 38.8% probability
New Zealand Warriors
- Adam Pompey: 38.6% probability
- Taine Tuaupiki: 33.7% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 29.4% probability
- Luke Metcalf: 26.4% probability
- Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad: 22.3% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Storm vs Warriors match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Storm vs Warriors: Essential Details
The NRL Round 6 clash between the Storm and Warriors at AAMI Park is scheduled to begin at 2:00pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Melbourne Storm vs New Zealand Warriors
- Date: Sunday 13 April 2025
- Kick-off: 2:00pm AEST
- Location: AAMI Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Storm vs Warriors predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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